Football · Spain Tercera Group 3 · 08/11, 16:00

Prediction: SD Torina vs CD Bezana

Team pages: SD Torina · CD Bezana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

SD Torina1.13

CD Bezana1.11

1X2

36% 30% 34%

SD Torina Draw CD Bezana

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

SD Torina 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDDDDW

CD Bezana 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWDLDW

Head-to-head

SD Torina 2–4 CD Bezana (6 last)

CD Bezana3-0SD Torina
SD Torina0-3CD Bezana
CD Bezana1-0SD Torina
SD Torina2-0CD Bezana
SD Torina2-1CD Bezana
CD Bezana3-0SD Torina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Torina 1531 · CD Bezana 1562

	SD Torina	Draw	CD Bezana
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Bezana: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Torina	CD Bezana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.4	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 3	2.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.55▼	Pinn 3.11 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:44 +18’	2.20	3.10	2.90
23:34 +12’	2.45▲	3.10	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +71’	2.49	3.12	2.66
08:23 +54’	2.25▼	3.12	3.00▲
12:04 +26’	2.34▲	2.87▼	3.11▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Torina 2–0–4 CD Bezana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Bezana	3-0 HT 3-0	SD Torina
23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	SD Torina	0-3	CD Bezana
25/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Bezana	1-0 HT 0-0	SD Torina
15/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 3	SD Torina	2-0	CD Bezana
10/02/24 Spain Tercera Group 3	SD Torina	2-1	CD Bezana
23/09/23 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Bezana	3-0 HT 2-0	SD Torina

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tropezon	9	7	2	0	19	5	23
2	SD Revilla	10	6	3	1	23	12	21
3	CD Cayon	9	6	2	1	11	2	20
4	CD Bezana	9	6	2	1	17	8	20
5	UD Samano	10	5	4	1	23	9	19
6	Laredo	10	6	1	3	20	9	19
7	Vimenor	9	5	2	2	13	7	17
8	SD Torina	9	3	6	0	11	4	15
9	CD Atletico Mineros	10	4	1	5	14	20	13
10	Solares	9	2	3	4	8	13	9
11	CD Barquereno	9	2	2	5	7	16	8
12	CD Guarnizo	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
13	Castro	9	2	2	5	10	13	8
14	Escobedo	10	1	4	5	8	17	7
15	Selaya	10	2	1	7	6	18	7
16	At. Albericia	9	1	4	4	11	15	7
17	Velarde	10	1	3	6	7	19	6
18	Naval	9	1	2	6	10	23	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Torina	CD Bezana
Velarde	0-0 D	4-1 W
UD Samano	1-1 D	1-1 D
CD Cayon	0-0 D	0-2 L
CD Guarnizo	1-1 D	1-1 D
Vimenor	0-0 D	1-0 W
CD Barquereno	3-0 W	2-0 W
Naval	3-0 W	3-2 W
Escobedo	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 6 D 0 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Torina

WDWWDDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CD Atletico Mineros Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/10	Velarde Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	UD Samano Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	CD Cayon Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
03/10	CD Guarnizo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Vimenor Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/09	CD Barquereno Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Naval Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	SD Revilla Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-0	–	–	W

CD Bezana

DWWWWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Velarde Spain Tercera Group 3	3-0	4-1	9	0	W
25/10	UD Samano Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	CD Cayon Spain Tercera Group 3	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
10/10	CD Guarnizo Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
03/10	Vimenor Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Barquereno Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Naval Spain Tercera Group 3	1-2	3-2	9	6	W
12/09	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	At. Albericia Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/05	CD Guarnizo Spain Tercera Group 3	1-1	1-1	7	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Torina vs CD Bezana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SD Torina win (36%). Probabilities: SD Torina 36%, draw 30%, CD Bezana 34%.

How many goals are expected in SD Torina vs CD Bezana?

The model expects 2.24 goals (SD Torina 1.13 · CD Bezana 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Torina vs CD Bezana?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.