Football · Spain Tercera Group 3 · 07/11, 15:45

Prediction: CD Guarnizo vs SD Revilla

Team pages: CD Guarnizo · SD Revilla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

CD Guarnizo1.39

SD Revilla1.43

1X2

35% 28% 37%

CD Guarnizo Draw SD Revilla

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Guarnizo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDDLWL

SD Revilla 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDWWWD

Head-to-head

CD Guarnizo 3–3–0 SD Revilla (6 last)

SD Revilla1-2CD Guarnizo
CD Guarnizo0-0SD Revilla
SD Revilla2-3CD Guarnizo
CD Guarnizo1-1SD Revilla
SD Revilla1-1CD Guarnizo
CD Guarnizo4-1SD Revilla

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Revilla (rating 1469 vs 1531).
H2H favours CD Guarnizo: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Guarnizo	SD Revilla
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/50/33%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	3.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.51.84

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.14 → 2.16▲	Pinn 2.16
X	3.49 → 3.55▲	Pinn 3.55
2	2.90 → 2.94▲	Pinn 2.94

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:30 +41’	2.14	3.49	2.90
14:05 +34’	2.16▲	3.55▲	2.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Guarnizo 3–3–0 SD Revilla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 3	SD Revilla	1-2 HT 0-1	CD Guarnizo
04/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Guarnizo	0-0	SD Revilla
22/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	SD Revilla	2-3	CD Guarnizo
12/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Guarnizo	1-1 HT 0-0	SD Revilla
30/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 3	SD Revilla	1-1 HT 1-1	CD Guarnizo
12/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Guarnizo	4-1	SD Revilla

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tropezon	9	7	2	0	19	5	23
2	SD Revilla	10	6	3	1	23	12	21
3	CD Cayon	9	6	2	1	11	2	20
4	CD Bezana	9	6	2	1	17	8	20
5	UD Samano	10	5	4	1	23	9	19
6	Laredo	10	6	1	3	20	9	19
7	Vimenor	9	5	2	2	13	7	17
8	SD Torina	9	3	6	0	11	4	15
9	CD Atletico Mineros	10	4	1	5	14	20	13
10	Solares	9	2	3	4	8	13	9
11	CD Barquereno	9	2	2	5	7	16	8
12	CD Guarnizo	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
13	Castro	9	2	2	5	10	13	8
14	Escobedo	10	1	4	5	8	17	7
15	Selaya	10	2	1	7	6	18	7
16	At. Albericia	9	1	4	4	11	15	7
17	Velarde	10	1	3	6	7	19	6
18	Naval	9	1	2	6	10	23	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Guarnizo	SD Revilla
Solares	0-1 L	2-0 W
SD Torina	1-1 D	0-2 L
CD Atletico Mineros	1-2 L	4-0 W
Tropezon	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Guarnizo

DLLLWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Solares Spain Tercera Group 3	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
25/10	Selaya Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	1-0	4	12	W
17/10	Laredo Spain Tercera Group 3	2-1	2-4	2	7	L
10/10	CD Bezana Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
03/10	SD Torina Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Velarde Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/09	UD Samano Spain Tercera Group 3	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
12/09	CD Cayon Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	CD Atletico Mineros Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

SD Revilla

LWWDLDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Vimenor Spain Tercera Group 3	1-1	1-1	3	9	D
25/10	CD Barquereno Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/10	Naval Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-2	–	–	W
10/10	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/10	At. Albericia Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	Tropezon Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
19/09	Castro Spain Tercera Group 3	0-2	2-2	13	7	D
13/09	CD Atletico Mineros Spain Tercera Group 3	3-0	4-0	7	4	W
06/09	Solares Spain Tercera Group 3	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
09/05	SD Torina Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Guarnizo vs SD Revilla?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SD Revilla win (37%). Probabilities: CD Guarnizo 35%, draw 28%, SD Revilla 37%.

How many goals are expected in CD Guarnizo vs SD Revilla?

The model expects 2.82 goals (CD Guarnizo 1.39 · SD Revilla 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Guarnizo vs SD Revilla?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.