Football · Spain Tercera Group 3 · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: CD Barquereno vs Tropezon

Team pages: CD Barquereno · Tropezon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

CD Barquereno1.07

Tropezon1.55

1X2

25% 28% 47%

CD Barquereno Draw Tropezon

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Barquereno 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWDLW

Tropezon 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDDW

Head-to-head

CD Barquereno 3–1–2 Tropezon (6 last)

CD Barquereno2-1Tropezon
Tropezon3-1CD Barquereno
CD Barquereno2-0Tropezon
Tropezon3-0CD Barquereno
CD Barquereno3-2Tropezon
Tropezon1-1CD Barquereno

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tropezon (rating 1452 vs 1579).
H2H favours CD Barquereno: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Barquereno	Tropezon
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.1	1.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.99

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.52 → 6.52	Pinn 6.52
X	3.94 → 3.94	Pinn 3.94
2	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +6’	6.52	3.94	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Barquereno 3–1–2 Tropezon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Barquereno	2-1 HT 2-0	Tropezon
13/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	Tropezon	3-1	CD Barquereno
12/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Barquereno	2-0	Tropezon
01/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 3	Tropezon	3-0 HT 1-0	CD Barquereno
26/01/20 Spain Tercera Group 3	CD Barquereno	3-2	Tropezon
06/09/19 Spain Tercera Group 3	Tropezon	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Barquereno

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tropezon	9	7	2	0	19	5	23
2	SD Revilla	10	6	3	1	23	12	21
3	CD Cayon	9	6	2	1	11	2	20
4	CD Bezana	9	6	2	1	17	8	20
5	UD Samano	10	5	4	1	23	9	19
6	Laredo	10	6	1	3	20	9	19
7	Vimenor	9	5	2	2	13	7	17
8	SD Torina	9	3	6	0	11	4	15
9	CD Atletico Mineros	10	4	1	5	14	20	13
10	Solares	9	2	3	4	8	13	9
11	CD Barquereno	9	2	2	5	7	16	8
12	CD Guarnizo	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
13	Castro	9	2	2	5	10	13	8
14	Escobedo	10	1	4	5	8	17	7
15	Selaya	10	2	1	7	6	18	7
16	At. Albericia	9	1	4	4	11	15	7
17	Velarde	10	1	3	6	7	19	6
18	Naval	9	1	2	6	10	23	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Barquereno	Tropezon
Castro	1-0 W	2-0 W
SD Revilla	1-3 L	2-0 W
Solares	2-2 D	2-1 W
Selaya	1-0 W	3-0 W
Laredo	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tropezon (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Barquereno

LDLLLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Castro Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
25/10	SD Revilla Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-3	–	–	L
18/10	Solares Spain Tercera Group 3	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
11/10	Selaya Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	Laredo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-3	–	–	L
27/09	CD Bezana Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	SD Torina Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	Velarde Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	UD Samano Spain Tercera Group 3	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
09/05	Gimnastica de Torrelavega Spain Tercera Group 3	–	1-5	–	–	L

Tropezon

DWWWWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Naval Spain Tercera Group 3	–	4-0	–	–	W
25/10	Escobedo Spain Tercera Group 3	0-1	2-2	11	5	D
18/10	At. Albericia Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
10/10	CD Atletico Mineros Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-1	–	–	W
04/10	Castro Spain Tercera Group 3	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
27/09	SD Revilla Spain Tercera Group 3	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
19/09	Solares Spain Tercera Group 3	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Selaya Spain Tercera Group 3	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
06/09	Laredo Spain Tercera Group 3	1-0	2-1	0	5	W
31/05	Laredo Spain Tercera Group 3	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Barquereno vs Tropezon?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tropezon win (47%). Probabilities: CD Barquereno 25%, draw 28%, Tropezon 47%.

How many goals are expected in CD Barquereno vs Tropezon?

The model expects 2.63 goals (CD Barquereno 1.07 · Tropezon 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Barquereno vs Tropezon?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.