Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 15/08, 21:30

Prediction: Real Frontera vs CD Lara

Team pages: Real Frontera · CD Lara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Real Frontera0.88

CD Lara1.88

1X2

16% 24% 60%

Real Frontera Draw CD Lara

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Real Frontera 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLL

CD Lara 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLWLD

Head-to-head

Real Frontera 0–2 CD Lara (2 last)

CD Lara2-0Real Frontera
Real Frontera0-1CD Lara

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Frontera 1376 · CD Lara 1533

	Real Frontera	Draw	CD Lara
Our model	16%	24%	60%
Market	16%	24%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Lara (rating 1376 vs 1533).
H2H favours CD Lara: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Frontera	CD Lara
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.3	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.4	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

15.50

X3.80

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:18 +3’	5.50	3.80	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Frontera 0–0–2 CD Lara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	2-0 HT 1-0	Real Frontera
21/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Real Frontera	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Lara

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urena SC	20	10	8	2	33	19	38
2	CD Lara	19	10	6	3	31	19	36
3	Barquisimeto	19	10	6	3	29	17	36
4	Yaracuyanos	20	8	6	6	25	20	30
5	Zamora II	19	7	7	5	31	27	28
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	21	7	5	9	27	26	26
7	Atletico Barinas	20	7	2	11	40	45	23
8	Atletico El Vigia	20	3	6	11	17	37	15
9	Real Frontera	20	3	2	15	19	42	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Frontera	CD Lara
Yaracuyanos	0-2 L	2-2 D
Atletico El Vigia	1-3 L	1-2 L
Atletico Barinas	1-3 L	4-1 W
Urena SC	1-5 L	0-1 L
Barquisimeto	1-2 L	1-0 W
Zamora II	0-2 L	4-1 W
Academia Puerto Cabello II	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Lara (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Real Frontera

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
02/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-3	2	8	L
29/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
25/07	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-3	1-5	7	6	L
24/06	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Cup	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
06/06	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
30/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
24/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
09/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	1	7	D

CD Lara

WWDWWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	7	10	D
29/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
25/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	4-1	8	5	W
24/06	Urena SC Venezuela Cup	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
06/06	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-3	10	6	L
30/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
24/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-1	2	4	W
20/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
16/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
02/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-1	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Frontera vs CD Lara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Lara win (60%). Probabilities: Real Frontera 16%, draw 24%, CD Lara 60%.

How many goals are expected in Real Frontera vs CD Lara?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Real Frontera 0.88 · CD Lara 1.88), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Frontera vs CD Lara?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.