Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 05/09, 15:00
Prediction: Monopoli U19 vs Cosenza U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Monopoli U192.02
Cosenza U191.25
1X2
Monopoli U19
Draw
Cosenza U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Monopoli U19
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Cosenza U19
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monopoli U19
1–4–1
Cosenza U19
(6 last)
- Monopoli U191-1Cosenza U19
- Cosenza U192-2Monopoli U19
- Cosenza U192-2Monopoli U19
- Monopoli U191-0Cosenza U19
- Monopoli U191-1Cosenza U19
- Cosenza U192-1Monopoli U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monopoli U19 1498 · Cosenza U19 1444
| Monopoli U19 | Draw | Cosenza U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monopoli U19 (rating 1498 vs 1444).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monopoli U19 | Cosenza U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monopoli U19 1–4–1 Cosenza U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Monopoli U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cosenza U19 |
| 20/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cosenza U19 | 2-2 | Monopoli U19 |
| 19/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cosenza U19 | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Monopoli U19 |
| 21/12/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Monopoli U19 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cosenza U19 |
| 24/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Monopoli U19 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cosenza U19 |
| 16/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Cosenza U19 | 2-1 | Monopoli U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Ascoli U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Benevento U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cosenza U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Frosinone U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Latina U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Palermo U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Pescara U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Spezia U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Monopoli U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bari U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Napoli U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Avellino U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Salernitana U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Pisa U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monopoli U19 | Cosenza U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro U19 | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Avellino U19 | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Crotone U19 | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Spezia U19 | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Bari U19 | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cosenza U19 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monopoli U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 04/04 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 28/02 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Cosenza U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Bari U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/03 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 07/03 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/02 | Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monopoli U19 vs Cosenza U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monopoli U19 win (54%). Probabilities: Monopoli U19 54%, draw 24%, Cosenza U19 22%.
How many goals are expected in Monopoli U19 vs Cosenza U19?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Monopoli U19 2.02 · Cosenza U19 1.25), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Monopoli U19 vs Cosenza U19?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.