Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Sambiase vs ASD Ragusa

Team pages: Sambiase · ASD Ragusa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Sambiase2.08
ASD Ragusa0.81
1X2
67% 20% 13%
Sambiase Draw ASD Ragusa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sambiase 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWLWDWW
ASD Ragusa 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
DLDLLLDLLL
Head-to-head
Sambiase 3–1–0 ASD Ragusa (4 last)
  • Sambiase1-1ASD Ragusa
  • ASD Ragusa1-2Sambiase
  • Sambiase2-1ASD Ragusa
  • ASD Ragusa0-1Sambiase
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sambiase 1572 · ASD Ragusa 1406
SambiaseDrawASD Ragusa
Our model66%22%12%
Market67%19%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sambiase (rating 1572 vs 1406).
  • H2H favours Sambiase: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SambiaseASD Ragusa
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.80.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/33/17%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.41.3 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.45.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sambiase 3–1–0 ASD Ragusa

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Italy Serie D
Sambiase1-1
HT 0-1
ASD Ragusa
21/09/25
Italy Serie D
ASD Ragusa1-2Sambiase
02/03/25
Italy Serie D
Sambiase2-1
HT 1-1
ASD Ragusa
27/10/24
Italy Serie D
ASD Ragusa0-1Sambiase

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSambiaseASD Ragusa
Igea Virtus 4-2 W 1-3 L
Nissa FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Calcio Avola 1949 1-1 D 0-1 L
Trapani 1-0 W 0-1 L
ASD Licata 1-2 L 0-1 L
Vigor Lamezia 4-1 W 1-1 D
Milazzo 1-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sambiase (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sambiase

WDWWWLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
25/10 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 56 W
18/10 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
11/10 Trapani
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 15 W
04/10 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 37 L
27/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
2-0 4-1 54 W
20/09 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 47 W
16/09 Modica
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 92 W
12/09 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 47 W

ASD Ragusa

DLDLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Reggina
Italy Serie D
– 2-5 –– L
25/10 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
18/10 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
11/10 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 26 D
04/10 Calcio Avola 1949
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
20/09 ASD Licata
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 05 L
16/09 Vigor Lamezia
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
13/09 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 56 L
06/09 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sambiase vs ASD Ragusa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sambiase win (67%). Probabilities: Sambiase 67%, draw 20%, ASD Ragusa 13%.

How many goals are expected in Sambiase vs ASD Ragusa?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Sambiase 2.08 · ASD Ragusa 0.81), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sambiase vs ASD Ragusa?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.