Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Vibonese vs Città di Gela

Team pages: Vibonese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Vibonese1.79
Città di Gela0.69
1X2
63% 24% 13%
Vibonese Draw Città di Gela
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Vibonese 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWDLWWWD
Città di Gela 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLDLDD
Head-to-head
Vibonese 1–2–1 Città di Gela (4 last)
  • Città di Gela1-1Vibonese
  • Vibonese1-2Città di Gela
  • Vibonese1-0Città di Gela
  • Città di Gela1-1Vibonese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vibonese 1563 · Città di Gela 1468
ViboneseDrawCittà di Gela
Our model63%24%13%
Market64%23%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vibonese (rating 1563 vs 1468).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ViboneseCittà di Gela
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.90.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/43/14%0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.31 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.63.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vibonese 1–2–1 Città di Gela

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Italy Serie D
Città di Gela1-1Vibonese
14/12/25
Italy Serie D
Vibonese1-2
HT 1-1
Città di Gela
21/01/18
Italy Serie D
Vibonese1-0Città di Gela
22/11/17
Italy Serie D
Città di Gela1-1
HT 1-0
Vibonese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 7511 16216
2 Sambiase 7511 11516
3 Calcio Avola 1949 7502 111015
4 Vibonese 7421 16614
5 ASD Licata 7421 10914
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 7331 13512
7 Igea Virtus 7322 161411
8 Milazzo 7313 6910
9 Nissa FC 7232 10109
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Siracusa 7421 1157
12 Modica 7214 7107
13 ASD CastrumFavara 7214 897
14 Città di Gela 7133 575
15 Vigor Lamezia 7124 7165
16 ASD Ragusa 7034 5103
17 Trapani 7205 3111
18 Enna Calcio 7016 0171

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentViboneseCittà di Gela
ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 2-0 W 0-1 L
SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3-0 W 0-0 D
Siracusa 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vibonese (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vibonese

LDWWDLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Reggina
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 55 D
04/10 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 45 W
27/09 Nissa FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 45 W
20/09 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-0 56 W
16/09 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-4 35 L
12/09 Siracusa
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Trapani
Italy Serie D
3-0 4-0 23 W
03/05 Acireale
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 07 W
26/04 Città di Gela
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
22/04 Igea Virtus
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L

Città di Gela

LDLLWLDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Milazzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
04/10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
27/09 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
20/09 Enna Calcio
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
16/09 Siracusa
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
13/09 ASD CastrumFavara
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
06/09 Sambiase
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 17 L
03/05 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
26/04 Vibonese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
19/04 ASD CastrumFavara
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 40 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vibonese vs Città di Gela?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vibonese win (63%). Probabilities: Vibonese 63%, draw 24%, Città di Gela 13%.

How many goals are expected in Vibonese vs Città di Gela?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Vibonese 1.79 · Città di Gela 0.69), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vibonese vs Città di Gela?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.