Prediction: ASD CastrumFavara vs Vibonese
Team pages: ASD CastrumFavara · Vibonese
- ASD CastrumFavara2-1Vibonese
- Vibonese1-0ASD CastrumFavara
- Vibonese4-0ASD CastrumFavara
- ASD CastrumFavara1-2Vibonese
| ASD CastrumFavara | Draw | Vibonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vibonese (rating 1457 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Vibonese: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD CastrumFavara | Vibonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/71/14% | 50/38/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD CastrumFavara 1–0–3 Vibonese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie D | ASD CastrumFavara | 2-1 | Vibonese |
| 28/09/25 Italy Serie D | Vibonese | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ASD CastrumFavara |
| 02/02/25 Italy Serie D | Vibonese | 4-0 HT 0-0 | ASD CastrumFavara |
| 06/10/24 Italy Serie D | ASD CastrumFavara | 1-2 | Vibonese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD CastrumFavara | Vibonese |
|---|---|---|
| Nissa FC | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Reggina | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Trapani | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Igea Virtus | 3-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Città di Gela | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Milazzo | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vibonese (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD CastrumFavara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/10 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Trapani Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Calcio Avola 1949 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Modica Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Licata Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Vibonese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Reggina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Nissa FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Siracusa Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Trapani Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vibonese win (57%). Probabilities: ASD CastrumFavara 19%, draw 24%, Vibonese 57%.
How many goals are expected in ASD CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?
The model expects 2.87 goals (ASD CastrumFavara 1 · Vibonese 1.88), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.