Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: AC Mestre vs Legnago Salus
Team pages: AC Mestre · Legnago Salus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
AC Mestre1.49
Legnago Salus0.89
1X2
AC Mestre
Draw
Legnago Salus
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Mestre
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Legnago Salus
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Mestre
3–1–2
Legnago Salus
(6 last)
- Legnago Salus2-0AC Mestre
- AC Mestre1-1Legnago Salus
- Legnago Salus0-1AC Mestre
- AC Mestre3-1Legnago Salus
- AC Mestre2-1Legnago Salus
- Legnago Salus1-0AC Mestre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Mestre 1507 · Legnago Salus 1520
| AC Mestre | Draw | Legnago Salus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AC Mestre: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Mestre | Legnago Salus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/0/43% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Mestre 3–1–2 Legnago Salus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Italy Serie D Play-Offs | Legnago Salus | 2-0 | AC Mestre |
| 19/04/26 Italy Serie D | AC Mestre | 1-1 | Legnago Salus |
| 07/12/25 Italy Serie D | Legnago Salus | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AC Mestre |
| 31/08/25 Italy Serie D Cup | AC Mestre | 3-1 | Legnago Salus |
| 19/03/23 Italy Serie D | AC Mestre | 2-1 | Legnago Salus |
| 13/11/22 Italy Serie D | Legnago Salus | 1-0 | AC Mestre |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Mestre | Legnago Salus |
|---|---|---|
| ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cjarlins Muzane | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| FCD Conegliano | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Campodarsego | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Obermais | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Unione La Rocca Altavilla | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Bassano | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Luparense FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Calvi Noale | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Mestre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Triestina Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Cjarlins Muzane Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Campodarsego Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | FC Obermais Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 16/09 | Bassano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Luparense FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Calvi Noale Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Legnago Salus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/10 | ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | FC Obermais Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Cjarlins Muzane Italy Serie D |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Bassano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Campodarsego Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Calvi Noale Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Sandona 1922 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Luparense FC Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Mestre vs Legnago Salus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Mestre win (51%). Probabilities: AC Mestre 51%, draw 27%, Legnago Salus 22%.
How many goals are expected in AC Mestre vs Legnago Salus?
The model expects 2.37 goals (AC Mestre 1.49 · Legnago Salus 0.89), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Mestre vs Legnago Salus?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.