Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: AC Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane
Team pages: AC Mestre · Cjarlins Muzane
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
AC Mestre1.45
Cjarlins Muzane1.41
1X2
AC Mestre
Draw
Cjarlins Muzane
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Mestre
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Cjarlins Muzane
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Mestre
2–2–2
Cjarlins Muzane
(6 last)
- AC Mestre1-1Cjarlins Muzane
- Cjarlins Muzane1-0AC Mestre
- AC Mestre1-1Cjarlins Muzane
- Cjarlins Muzane2-3AC Mestre
- Cjarlins Muzane2-0AC Mestre
- AC Mestre1-0Cjarlins Muzane
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Mestre 1492 · Cjarlins Muzane 1536
| AC Mestre | Draw | Cjarlins Muzane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cjarlins Muzane (rating 1492 vs 1536).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Mestre | Cjarlins Muzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Mestre 2–2–2 Cjarlins Muzane
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie D | AC Mestre | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cjarlins Muzane |
| 28/09/25 Italy Serie D | Cjarlins Muzane | 1-0 | AC Mestre |
| 12/01/25 Italy Serie D | AC Mestre | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cjarlins Muzane |
| 14/09/24 Italy Serie D | Cjarlins Muzane | 2-3 HT 2-0 | AC Mestre |
| 25/02/24 Italy Serie D | Cjarlins Muzane | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AC Mestre |
| 22/10/23 Italy Serie D | AC Mestre | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cjarlins Muzane |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | ASD Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | ASD CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Trapani | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Mestre | Cjarlins Muzane |
|---|---|---|
| FCD Conegliano | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Campodarsego | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| FC Obermais | 2-2 D | 5-2 W |
| Bassano | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Legnago Salus | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Mestre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Campodarsego Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | FC Obermais Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 16/09 | Bassano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Luparense FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Calvi Noale Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Treviso Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Unione La Rocca Altavilla Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Legnago Salus Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Cjarlins Muzane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Legnago Salus Italy Serie D |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Triestina Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Este Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | FCD Conegliano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Campodarsego Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Obermais Italy Serie D |
4-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Campodarsego Italy Serie D |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | ASD San Luigi Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Bassano Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Mestre win (37%). Probabilities: AC Mestre 37%, draw 28%, Cjarlins Muzane 35%.
How many goals are expected in AC Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane?
The model expects 2.86 goals (AC Mestre 1.45 · Cjarlins Muzane 1.41), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.