Prediction: Ebolitana vs Fidelis Andria
Team pages: Fidelis Andria
| Ebolitana | Draw | Fidelis Andria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fidelis Andria (rating 1458 vs 1506).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ebolitana | Fidelis Andria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 5.5 | 1.3 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ebolitana | Fidelis Andria |
|---|---|---|
| Brindisi FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FBC Gravina | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Manfredonia | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| AC Nardo | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fidelis Andria (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ebolitana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Brindisi FC Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | FBC Gravina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Martina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Melfi Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Manfredonia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/09 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Fidelis Andria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Real Forio 2014 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | SS Turris Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Gladiator Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Manfredonia Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Brindisi FC Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | FBC Gravina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ebolitana vs Fidelis Andria?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fidelis Andria win (41%). Probabilities: Ebolitana 30%, draw 29%, Fidelis Andria 41%.
How many goals are expected in Ebolitana vs Fidelis Andria?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Ebolitana 1.08 · Fidelis Andria 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ebolitana vs Fidelis Andria?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.