Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: AC Nardo vs SS Turris Calcio

Team pages: AC Nardo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
AC Nardo0.82
SS Turris Calcio1.67
1X2
18% 26% 57%
AC Nardo Draw SS Turris Calcio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Nardo 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDDWLLDLLL
SS Turris Calcio 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWWDWWDL
Head-to-head
AC Nardo 3–1–0 SS Turris Calcio (4 last)
  • AC Nardo1-1SS Turris Calcio
  • SS Turris Calcio0-1AC Nardo
  • AC Nardo3-0SS Turris Calcio
  • SS Turris Calcio1-3AC Nardo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Nardo 1430 · SS Turris Calcio 1543
AC NardoDrawSS Turris Calcio
Our model17%26%56%
Market18%25%57%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SS Turris Calcio (rating 1430 vs 1543).
  • H2H favours AC Nardo: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC NardoSS Turris Calcio
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.91.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/33/67%29/71/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.72.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.53.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Nardo 3–1–0 SS Turris Calcio

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/04/18
Italy Serie D
AC Nardo1-1
HT 0-1
SS Turris Calcio
19/11/17
Italy Serie D
SS Turris Calcio0-1
HT 0-0
AC Nardo
14/02/16
Italy Serie D
AC Nardo3-0SS Turris Calcio
11/10/15
Italy Serie D
SS Turris Calcio1-3AC Nardo

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC NardoSS Turris Calcio
Gladiator 1-2 L 1-1 D
Fidelis Andria 1-3 L 2-0 W
Brindisi FC 0-2 L 2-1 W
FBC Gravina 1-1 D 0-0 D
US Palmese 1914 2-4 L 0-0 D
Martina 0-3 L 4-3 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SS Turris Calcio (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Nardo

LDDWLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
25/10 Fidelis Andria
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-3 54 L
18/10 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 10 L
11/10 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 46 D
04/10 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
27/09 Martina
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 46 L
20/09 Ischia
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
16/09 Melfi
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 63 D
12/09 Ebolitana
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
06/09 Bisceglie 1913
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 83 L

SS Turris Calcio

WDDWWDWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
25/10 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 26 D
18/10 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 22 W
04/10 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 47 D
27/09 Fidelis Andria
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 41 W
20/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 44 W
16/09 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 70 D
13/09 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D
06/09 Martina
Italy Serie D
– 4-3 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Nardo vs SS Turris Calcio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SS Turris Calcio win (57%). Probabilities: AC Nardo 18%, draw 26%, SS Turris Calcio 57%.

How many goals are expected in AC Nardo vs SS Turris Calcio?

The model expects 2.49 goals (AC Nardo 0.82 · SS Turris Calcio 1.67), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Nardo vs SS Turris Calcio?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.