Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Mezzolara vs Gavorrano

Team pages: Gavorrano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Mezzolara1.01
Gavorrano1.2
1X2
30% 30% 40%
Mezzolara Draw Gavorrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Mezzolara 1-7-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDDDDDDL
Gavorrano 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWDDDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mezzolara 1480 · Gavorrano 1558
MezzolaraDrawGavorrano
Our model29%31%39%
Market31%29%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gavorrano (rating 1480 vs 1558).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MezzolaraGavorrano
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.32.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 13.4 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMezzolaraGavorrano
Prato 0-4 L 1-1 D
ASD Terranuova Traiana 1-1 D 1-1 D
Virtus Flaminia 1-1 D 1-1 D
ASD Sasso Marconi 2-2 D 2-1 W
San Donato Tavarnelle 1-1 D 2-0 W
ASD Grassina 0-0 D 2-0 W
GSD Ghiviborgo VDS 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 6 D 1 L 4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gavorrano (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mezzolara

DLWDDDDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Prato
Italy Serie D
– 0-4 –– L
25/10 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
18/10 Virtus Flaminia
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
11/10 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
04/10 San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 74 D
27/09 ASD Grassina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 83 D
20/09 GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 33 D
16/09 Ternana
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-1 710 W
12/09 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
06/09 ASD Rondinella Marzocco
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D

Gavorrano

WDWWWDDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
– 3-2 –– W
25/10 ASD Seravezza Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 58 D
18/10 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 84 D
11/10 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 73 D
04/10 Virtus Flaminia
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
27/09 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 73 W
20/09 San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 44 W
16/09 GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 00 W
12/09 Nuova Ternana
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 34 D
06/09 ASD Grassina
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mezzolara vs Gavorrano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gavorrano win (40%). Probabilities: Mezzolara 30%, draw 30%, Gavorrano 40%.

How many goals are expected in Mezzolara vs Gavorrano?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Mezzolara 1.01 · Gavorrano 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mezzolara vs Gavorrano?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.