Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio vs ASD Terranuova Traiana

Team pages: ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio · ASD Terranuova Traiana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio1.65

ASD Terranuova Traiana1.29

1X2

44% 27% 28%

ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Draw ASD Terranuova Traiana

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWDLWL

ASD Terranuova Traiana 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDDWDW

Head-to-head

ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 1–1–2 ASD Terranuova Traiana (4 last)

ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio3-2ASD Terranuova Traiana
ASD Terranuova Traiana1-0ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio0-0ASD Terranuova Traiana
ASD Terranuova Traiana3-1ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 1499 · ASD Terranuova Traiana 1511

	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio	Draw	ASD Terranuova Traiana
Our model	45%	26%	29%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ASD Terranuova Traiana: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio	ASD Terranuova Traiana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	0.7 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +57’	2.05	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 1–1–2 ASD Terranuova Traiana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Italy Serie D	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio	3-2	ASD Terranuova Traiana
14/12/25 Italy Serie D	ASD Terranuova Traiana	1-0	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio
19/02/23 Italy Serie D	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio	0-0	ASD Terranuova Traiana
16/10/22 Italy Serie D	ASD Terranuova Traiana	3-1	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	10	7	2	1	25	7	23
2	Sambiase	10	7	2	1	17	8	23
3	Vibonese	10	6	3	1	22	9	21
4	Calcio Avola 1949	10	6	1	3	16	14	19
5	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	10	5	3	2	16	8	18
6	Milazzo	10	5	1	4	11	12	16
7	Igea Virtus	10	4	3	3	23	21	15
8	ASD Licata	10	4	2	4	10	17	14
9	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	9	4	2	3	12	10	14
10	Città di Gela	10	3	4	3	11	8	12
11	Nissa FC	10	3	3	4	16	14	12
12	Siracusa	10	5	3	2	17	10	11
13	Vigor Lamezia	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
14	ASD CastrumFavara	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
15	Modica	9	2	1	6	7	12	7
16	Trapani	10	3	2	5	7	14	6
17	ASD Ragusa	10	0	3	7	9	21	3
18	Enna Calcio	10	0	3	7	4	24	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio	ASD Terranuova Traiana
Virtus Flaminia	0-2 L	5-1 W
ASD Sasso Marconi	2-1 W	1-2 L
San Donato Tavarnelle	0-1 L	1-1 D
GSD Ghiviborgo VDS	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Terranuova Traiana (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
25/10	ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/10	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
11/10	ASD Grassina Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
04/10	GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
27/09	ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D	1-1	3-2	6	5	W
20/09	Ternana Italy Serie D	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
16/09	Robur Siena Italy Serie D	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D	1-2	1-4	6	1	L
06/09	SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	8	2	W

ASD Terranuova Traiana

LWDWLDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Lucchese Italy Serie D	–	3-2	–	–	W
25/10	Mezzolara Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	Scandicci Italy Serie D	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/10	Gavorrano Italy Serie D	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
03/10	Prato Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D	0-3	0-3	5	5	L
20/09	Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D	–	5-1	–	–	W
16/09	San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D	2-0	3-1	0	4	W
06/09	ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio vs ASD Terranuova Traiana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio win (44%). Probabilities: ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 44%, draw 27%, ASD Terranuova Traiana 28%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio vs ASD Terranuova Traiana?

The model expects 2.95 goals (ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio 1.65 · ASD Terranuova Traiana 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio vs ASD Terranuova Traiana?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.