Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Gavorrano vs Prato
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Gavorrano0.92
Prato1.21
1X2
Gavorrano
Draw
Prato
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Gavorrano
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Prato
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gavorrano
2–2–2
Prato
(6 last)
- Gavorrano2-1Prato
- Prato2-0Gavorrano
- Prato1-2Gavorrano
- Prato1-0Gavorrano
- Gavorrano1-1Prato
- Gavorrano1-1Prato
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gavorrano 1548 · Prato 1576
| Gavorrano | Draw | Prato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 32% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 29% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gavorrano | Prato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/57/14% | 50/25/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 3.7 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gavorrano 2–2–2 Prato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Italy Serie D | Gavorrano | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Prato |
| 28/09/25 Italy Serie D | Prato | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gavorrano |
| 16/01/22 Italy Serie D Cup | Prato | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gavorrano |
| 13/02/19 Italy Serie D | Prato | 1-0 | Gavorrano |
| 24/10/18 Italy Serie D | Gavorrano | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Prato |
| 04/02/18 Italy Serie C Group A | Gavorrano | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Prato |
Standings · Italy Serie D
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | ASD Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | ASD CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Trapani | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gavorrano | Prato |
|---|---|---|
| ASD Terranuova Traiana | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| ASD Sasso Marconi | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| GSD Ghiviborgo VDS | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Nuova Ternana | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| ASD Grassina | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gavorrano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Scandicci Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Orvietana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
Prato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 20 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | ASD Seravezza Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gavorrano vs Prato?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Prato win (42%). Probabilities: Gavorrano 27%, draw 30%, Prato 42%.
How many goals are expected in Gavorrano vs Prato?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Gavorrano 0.92 · Prato 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gavorrano vs Prato?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.