Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Prato
Team pages: ASD Seravezza Calcio · Prato
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
ASD Seravezza Calcio1.03
Prato1.27
1X2
ASD Seravezza Calcio
Draw
Prato
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Seravezza Calcio
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Prato
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Seravezza Calcio
3–3
Prato
(6 last)
- Prato1-2ASD Seravezza Calcio
- Prato1-0ASD Seravezza Calcio
- ASD Seravezza Calcio1-0Prato
- ASD Seravezza Calcio2-3Prato
- Prato0-1ASD Seravezza Calcio
- ASD Seravezza Calcio2-3Prato
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Seravezza Calcio 1529 · Prato 1559
| ASD Seravezza Calcio | Draw | Prato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Seravezza Calcio | Prato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 38/50/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 4.2 | 3.6 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Seravezza Calcio 3–0–3 Prato
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Italy Serie D | Prato | 1-2 HT 0-2 | ASD Seravezza Calcio |
| 02/04/26 Italy Serie D | Prato | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Seravezza Calcio |
| 23/11/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Seravezza Calcio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Prato |
| 30/08/25 Italy Serie D Cup | ASD Seravezza Calcio | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Prato |
| 01/09/24 Italy Serie D Cup | Prato | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ASD Seravezza Calcio |
| 07/12/22 Italy Serie D Cup | ASD Seravezza Calcio | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Prato |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Seravezza Calcio | Prato |
|---|---|---|
| Gavorrano | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| ASD Rondinella Marzocco | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Virtus Flaminia | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| ASD Terranuova Traiana | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Seravezza Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ternana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Gavorrano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Robur Siena Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Lucchese Italy Serie D |
5-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Prato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Mezzolara Italy Serie D |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Virtus Flaminia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Gavorrano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | GSD Ghiviborgo VDS Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 20 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | ASD Sasso Marconi Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | ASD Grassina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | ASD Rondinella Marzocco Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Nuova Ternana Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Prato?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Prato win (41%). Probabilities: ASD Seravezza Calcio 29%, draw 29%, Prato 41%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Prato?
The model expects 2.29 goals (ASD Seravezza Calcio 1.03 · Prato 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Prato?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.