Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 03/10, 16:30

Prediction: Alondras vs Montaneros

Team pages: Alondras · Montaneros

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Alondras2.02
Montaneros1.28
1X2
53% 25% 22%
Alondras Draw Montaneros
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Alondras 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WDWLLWLWWW
Montaneros 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLDDLWLLLL
Head-to-head
Alondras 1–1–0 Montaneros (2 last)
  • Alondras3-2Montaneros
  • Montaneros2-2Alondras
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alondras 1544 · Montaneros 1427
AlondrasDrawMontaneros
Our model54%23%23%
Market52%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alondras (rating 1544 vs 1427).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AlondrasMontaneros
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.51.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/43/14%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.72.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 04.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alondras 1–1–0 Montaneros

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Spain Tercera Group 1
Alondras3-2
HT 1-1
Montaneros
05/10/25
Spain Tercera Group 1
Montaneros2-2
HT 2-2
Alondras

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Boiro 4310 8310
2 SD Sarriana 4301 859
3 Alondras 4301 1089
4 Racing Club Villalbes 4220 758
5 Pontevedra B 4211 957
6 Portonovo 4211 757
7 CD Barco 4211 547
8 Lalin 4211 437
9 Antela FC 4211 227
10 Atletico Arteixo 4121 455
11 Celtiga 4112 564
11 Gran Pena 4112 564
13 CD Estradense 4112 574
14 Silva SD 4112 584
15 CD Arenteiro 4103 243
16 Viveiro CF 4103 253
17 Somozas 4022 132
18 Montaneros 4004 6110

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alondras

WDWLLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Atletico Arteixo
Spain Tercera Group 1
3-1 4-2 44 W
20/09 SD Sarriana
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-0 –– W
13/09 Antela FC
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-0 –– W
05/09 Pontevedra B
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-0 2-6 44 L
10/05 UD Barbadas
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-0 –– W
03/05 Viveiro CF
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 1-2 25 L
26/04 Lugo B
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-2 0-4 82 L
19/04 Gran Pena
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 2-0 65 W
12/04 Silva SD
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 1-1 35 D
05/04 Celtiga
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 1-0 65 W

Montaneros

WLDDLWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Viveiro CF
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 1-2 74 L
20/09 CD Estradense
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 1-3 24 L
13/09 Racing Club Villalbes
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-3 2-3 44 L
06/09 CD Boiro
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-2 2-3 44 L
10/05 Juventud Cambados
Spain Tercera Group 1
3-1 4-1 72 W
03/05 CD Boiro
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 1-3 45 L
26/04 CD Barco
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 0-0 17 D
19/04 Compostela
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 2-2 81 D
12/04 CD Estradense
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 0-1 78 L
05/04 Somozas
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alondras vs Montaneros?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alondras win (53%). Probabilities: Alondras 53%, draw 25%, Montaneros 22%.

How many goals are expected in Alondras vs Montaneros?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Alondras 2.02 · Montaneros 1.28), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Alondras vs Montaneros?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.