Football · Spain Tercera Group 1 · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Celtiga vs Somozas

Team pages: Celtiga · Somozas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Celtiga1.24
Somozas1.02
1X2
40% 30% 30%
Celtiga Draw Somozas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Celtiga 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLWDDW
Somozas 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWDDLDLWDL
Head-to-head
Celtiga 2–2–2 Somozas (6 last)
  • Somozas1-1Celtiga
  • Celtiga5-0Somozas
  • Celtiga2-0Somozas
  • Somozas1-0Celtiga
  • Somozas0-0Celtiga
  • Celtiga0-1Somozas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celtiga 1476 · Somozas 1484
CeltigaDrawSomozas
Our model40%31%29%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CeltigaSomozas
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 32 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 04.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtiga 2–2–2 Somozas

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Spain Tercera Group 1
Somozas1-1Celtiga
13/09/25
Spain Tercera Group 1
Celtiga5-0
HT 0-0
Somozas
18/04/19
Spain Tercera Group 1
Celtiga2-0Somozas
25/11/18
Spain Tercera Group 1
Somozas1-0Celtiga
08/04/18
Spain Tercera Group 1
Somozas0-0Celtiga
01/11/17
Spain Tercera Group 1
Celtiga0-1Somozas

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Boiro 7511 12616
2 CD Lalin 7412 7613
3 CD Barco 7331 8612
4 Antela FC 7331 6512
5 SD Sarriana 7322 131111
6 Portonovo 7322 8611
7 Silva SD 7322 101011
8 Racing Club Villalbes 7241 9810
9 Alondras 7313 101010
10 CD Estradense 7313 111210
11 Atletico Arteixo 7232 11119
12 Celtiga 7232 779
13 Montaneros 7304 12139
14 Pontevedra B 7214 987
15 Gran Pena 7214 10137
16 Somozas 7133 686
17 Viveiro CF 7124 375
18 CD Arenteiro 7115 8134

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCeltigaSomozas
CD Boiro 0-2 L 2-2 D
Atletico Arteixo 2-3 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Somozas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celtiga

LLLDLLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Gran Pena
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-0 2-1 55 W
11/10 Alondras
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 0-0 –– D
04/10 Viveiro CF
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 0-0 –– D
27/09 CD Estradense
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 2-0 22 W
19/09 Racing Club Villalbes
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-3 –– L
12/09 CD Boiro
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 0-2 11 L
06/09 Silva SD
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-1 1-1 34 D
10/05 Arosa
Spain Tercera Group 1
1-0 2-3 46 L
01/05 Atletico Arteixo
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-3 –– L
25/04 CF Noia
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 0-3 –– L

Somozas

DWDDLDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Montaneros
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 1-2 –– L
10/10 Atletico Arteixo
Spain Tercera Group 1
2-2 2-2 52 D
04/10 SD Sarriana
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-1 –– W
26/09 Antela FC
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 0-1 610 L
20/09 Pontevedra B
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 1-1 –– D
13/09 Lalin
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Portonovo
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
10/05 CD Boiro
Spain Tercera Group 1
– 2-2 –– D
03/05 CD Barco
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-1 2-1 12 W
26/04 Compostela
Spain Tercera Group 1
0-0 1-1 54 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celtiga vs Somozas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Celtiga win (40%). Probabilities: Celtiga 40%, draw 30%, Somozas 30%.

How many goals are expected in Celtiga vs Somozas?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Celtiga 1.24 · Somozas 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Celtiga vs Somozas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.