Prediction: Alessandria vs Celle Varazze FBC
Team pages: Celle Varazze FBC
| Alessandria | Draw | Celle Varazze FBC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alessandria (rating 1592 vs 1414).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alessandria | Celle Varazze FBC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 75/13/13% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.4 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.4 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alessandria | Celle Varazze FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Derthona | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| ASD Imperia | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Sestri Levante | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Valenzana | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alessandria (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Borgosesia Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | GSD Lascaris Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | USD Fezzanese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/09 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Asti Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | ASD Millesimo Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Sestri Levante Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Celle Varazze FBC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/10 | ASDC Gozzano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Sestri Levante Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/10 | AC Bra Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Ligorna Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Sanremese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandria vs Celle Varazze FBC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alessandria win (70%). Probabilities: Alessandria 70%, draw 19%, Celle Varazze FBC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Alessandria vs Celle Varazze FBC?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Alessandria 2.34 · Celle Varazze FBC 0.85), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Alessandria vs Celle Varazze FBC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.