Prediction: Mosul FC vs Diyala FC
Team pages: Mosul FC · Diyala FC
- Diyala FC1-4Mosul FC
- Mosul FC2-1Diyala FC
| Mosul FC | Draw | Diyala FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 29% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mosul FC (rating 1501 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Mosul FC: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mosul FC | Diyala FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 6.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mosul FC 2–0–0 Diyala FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Iraq Stars League | Diyala FC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Mosul FC |
| 17/10/25 Iraq Cup | Mosul FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Diyala FC |
Standings · Iraq Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Naft SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Erbil SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Diyala FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Zakho | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Newroz SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Gharraf | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Karma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Mosul FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Al Shorta SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Duhok | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Karbalaa FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Jolan SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Minaa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Naft Maysan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Zawra'a | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Karkh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mosul FC | Diyala FC |
|---|---|---|
| Al Karma | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Duhok | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| Al Talaba | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Al Gharraf | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Amanat Baghdad | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mosul FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Newroz SC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/05 | Al Minaa Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 06/05 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Diyala FC Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Al Naft SC Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Diyala FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Duhok Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Al Karma Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Amanat Baghdad Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 15/05 | Al Shorta SC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Zakho Iraq Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | Al Gharraf Iraq Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 01/05 | Al Talaba Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Mosul FC Iraq Stars League |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | Al Zawra'a Iraq Stars League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mosul FC vs Diyala FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mosul FC win (46%). Probabilities: Mosul FC 46%, draw 29%, Diyala FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Mosul FC vs Diyala FC?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Mosul FC 1.45 · Diyala FC 1), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mosul FC vs Diyala FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.