Football · England Development League 2 · 22/09, 14:00
Prediction: Wigan U21 vs Coventry U21
Team pages: Wigan U21 · Coventry U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Wigan U212.38
Coventry U212.01
1X2
Wigan U21
Draw
Coventry U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan U21
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Coventry U21
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wigan U21
3–3
Coventry U21
(6 last)
- Wigan U217-1Coventry U21
- Coventry U210-9Wigan U21
- Wigan U211-2Coventry U21
- Coventry U212-1Wigan U21
- Wigan U212-0Coventry U21
- Coventry U211-0Wigan U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wigan U21 1513 · Coventry U21 1432
| Wigan U21 | Draw | Coventry U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 21% | 33% |
| Market | 47% | 21% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigan U21 (rating 1513 vs 1432).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wigan U21 | Coventry U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.6 | 1.9 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigan U21 3–0–3 Coventry U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 7-1 HT 3-0 | Coventry U21 |
| 21/10/25 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 0-9 HT 0-4 | Wigan U21 |
| 22/04/25 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 11/03/25 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Wigan U21 |
| 19/04/24 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Coventry U21 |
| 06/02/24 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wigan U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Barnsley U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
| 5 | Peterborough U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 6 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol City U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Huddersfield U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Swansea U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Wigan U21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 5 |
| 11 | Sheff Utd U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | QPR U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 13 | Coventry U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlton U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wigan U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 6-4 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/09 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 07/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/03 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/03 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Coventry U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
4-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wigan U21 vs Coventry U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wigan U21 win (47%). Probabilities: Wigan U21 47%, draw 21%, Coventry U21 33%.
How many goals are expected in Wigan U21 vs Coventry U21?
The model expects 4.39 goals (Wigan U21 2.38 · Coventry U21 2.01), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Wigan U21 vs Coventry U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.