Football · England Development League 2 · 29/09, 14:00
Prediction: Peterborough U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
Team pages: Peterborough U21 · Fleetwood Town U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.05Total
Peterborough U212.41
Fleetwood Town U211.63
1X2
Peterborough U21
Draw
Fleetwood Town U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Fleetwood Town U21
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peterborough U21
3–3
Fleetwood Town U21
(6 last)
- Fleetwood Town U213-1Peterborough U21
- Peterborough U212-0Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U215-0Peterborough U21
- Peterborough U213-2Fleetwood Town U21
- Peterborough U211-0Fleetwood Town U21
- Fleetwood Town U213-2Peterborough U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peterborough U21 1538 · Fleetwood Town U21 1429
| Peterborough U21 | Draw | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterborough U21 (rating 1538 vs 1429).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterborough U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 44/0/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough U21 3–0–3 Fleetwood Town U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Peterborough U21 |
| 14/10/25 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 25/02/25 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Peterborough U21 |
| 05/11/24 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 12/04/24 England Development League 2 | Peterborough U21 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
| 05/12/23 England Development League 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Peterborough U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Bristol City U21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Barnsley U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 7 | Peterborough U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Swansea U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Wigan U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 6 |
| 13 | Colchester U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peterborough U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea U21 | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| QPR U21 | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Brentford U21 | 1-1 D | 1-6 L |
| Millwall U21 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Peterborough U21 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterborough U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/08 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/08 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Nottm Forest U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/03 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/03 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
Fleetwood Town U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
1-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/03 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/03 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterborough U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough U21 win (54%). Probabilities: Peterborough U21 54%, draw 21%, Fleetwood Town U21 25%.
How many goals are expected in Peterborough U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model expects 4.05 goals (Peterborough U21 2.41 · Fleetwood Town U21 1.63), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterborough U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.