Football · England Development League 2 · 28/09, 20:00
Prediction: Swansea U21 vs QPR U21
Team pages: Swansea U21 · QPR U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
Swansea U212.25
QPR U211.7
1X2
Swansea U21
Draw
QPR U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Swansea U21
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
QPR U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Swansea U21
3–1–2
QPR U21
(6 last)
- Swansea U213-1QPR U21
- QPR U210-4Swansea U21
- QPR U211-3Swansea U21
- Swansea U210-5QPR U21
- Swansea U210-0QPR U21
- QPR U213-1Swansea U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Swansea U21 1530 · QPR U21 1461
| Swansea U21 | Draw | QPR U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 22% | 29% |
| Market | 50% | 21% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.96 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Swansea U21 (rating 1530 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Swansea U21: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Swansea U21 | QPR U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.4 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Swansea U21 3–1–2 QPR U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 3-1 HT 0-0 | QPR U21 |
| 30/09/25 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 25/02/25 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Swansea U21 |
| 17/02/25 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 0-5 HT 0-1 | QPR U21 |
| 18/12/23 England Development League 2 | Swansea U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | QPR U21 |
| 25/09/23 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Swansea U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Bristol City U21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Barnsley U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 7 | Peterborough U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Swansea U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Wigan U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 6 |
| 13 | Colchester U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Swansea U21 | QPR U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Huddersfield U21 | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Hull U21 | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Peterborough U21 | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Swansea U21 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Swansea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/09 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
QPR U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 10/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Swansea U21 vs QPR U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Swansea U21 win (50%). Probabilities: Swansea U21 50%, draw 21%, QPR U21 29%.
How many goals are expected in Swansea U21 vs QPR U21?
The model expects 3.96 goals (Swansea U21 2.25 · QPR U21 1.7), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Swansea U21 vs QPR U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.