Football · England Development League 2 · 29/09, 14:00
Prediction: Coventry U21 vs Colchester U21
Team pages: Coventry U21 · Colchester U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.51Total
Coventry U212.82
Colchester U211.69
1X2
Coventry U21
Draw
Colchester U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Coventry U21
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Colchester U21
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coventry U21
2–2
Colchester U21
(4 last)
- Colchester U213-2Coventry U21
- Coventry U2114-0Colchester U21
- Coventry U211-2Colchester U21
- Coventry U213-1Colchester U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coventry U21 1462 · Colchester U21 1450
| Coventry U21 | Draw | Colchester U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| Market | 60% | 19% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.51 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coventry U21 | Colchester U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.6 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 11/22/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coventry U21 2–0–2 Colchester U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/25 England Development League 2 | Colchester U21 | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Coventry U21 |
| 21/01/25 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 14-0 HT 6-0 | Colchester U21 |
| 16/04/24 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Colchester U21 |
| 28/03/23 England Development League 2 | Coventry U21 | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Colchester U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Bristol City U21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Barnsley U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 7 | Peterborough U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Huddersfield U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Charlton U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Swansea U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Wigan U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 6 |
| 13 | Colchester U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coventry U21 | Colchester U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan U21 | 2-2 D | 4-6 L |
| Barnsley U21 | 5-3 W | 3-4 L |
| Bolton U21 | 1-3 L | 0-7 L |
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Coventry U21 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coventry U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
4-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
Colchester U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coventry U21 vs Colchester U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coventry U21 win (61%). Probabilities: Coventry U21 61%, draw 19%, Colchester U21 21%.
How many goals are expected in Coventry U21 vs Colchester U21?
The model expects 4.51 goals (Coventry U21 2.82 · Colchester U21 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Coventry U21 vs Colchester U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.