Football · England Development League 2 · 06/10, 14:00
Prediction: Bristol City U21 vs Charlton U21
Team pages: Bristol City U21 · Charlton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Bristol City U212.12
Charlton U211.53
1X2
Bristol City U21
Draw
Charlton U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Bristol City U21
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Charlton U21
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bristol City U21
2–2–2
Charlton U21
(6 last)
- Charlton U211-2Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U211-2Charlton U21
- Charlton U211-1Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U210-0Charlton U21
- Bristol City U214-2Charlton U21
- Charlton U214-2Bristol City U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bristol City U21 1581 · Charlton U21 1508
| Bristol City U21 | Draw | Charlton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 51% | 21% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bristol City U21 (rating 1581 vs 1508).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bristol City U21 | Charlton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City U21 2–2–2 Charlton U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Bristol City U21 |
| 29/09/25 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Charlton U21 |
| 04/03/25 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bristol City U21 |
| 18/11/24 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Charlton U21 |
| 07/05/24 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Charlton U21 |
| 02/10/23 England Development League 2 | Charlton U21 | 4-2 HT 4-1 | Bristol City U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol City U21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Swansea U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Charlton U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Wigan U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20 | 9 |
| 7 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Coventry U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Barnsley U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 11 | Peterborough U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Huddersfield U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Colchester U21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 6 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bristol City U21 | Charlton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Utd U21 | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Sheffield Wed U21 | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Wigan U21 | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Colchester U21 | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bristol City U21 (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bristol City U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 08/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/03 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
Charlton U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Watford U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bristol City U21 vs Charlton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol City U21 win (51%). Probabilities: Bristol City U21 51%, draw 22%, Charlton U21 28%.
How many goals are expected in Bristol City U21 vs Charlton U21?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Bristol City U21 2.12 · Charlton U21 1.53), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bristol City U21 vs Charlton U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.