Football · England Development League 2 · 06/10, 14:00
Prediction: QPR U21 vs Coventry U21
Team pages: QPR U21 · Coventry U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
QPR U212.31
Coventry U212.02
1X2
QPR U21
Draw
Coventry U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
QPR U21
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Coventry U21
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
QPR U21
1–1–2
Coventry U21
(4 last)
- QPR U213-4Coventry U21
- QPR U210-6Coventry U21
- QPR U214-2Coventry U21
- QPR U211-1Coventry U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · QPR U21 1452 · Coventry U21 1485
| QPR U21 | Draw | Coventry U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| Market | 45% | 21% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Coventry U21: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| QPR U21 | Coventry U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.5 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.2 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · QPR U21 1–1–2 Coventry U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Coventry U21 |
| 13/08/24 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Coventry U21 |
| 21/08/23 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Coventry U21 |
| 03/04/23 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Coventry U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol City U21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Swansea U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Charlton U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Wigan U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20 | 9 |
| 7 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Coventry U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Barnsley U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 11 | Peterborough U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Huddersfield U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Colchester U21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 6 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | QPR U21 | Coventry U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton U21 | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Huddersfield U21 | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Crewe U21 | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Wigan U21 | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Coventry U21 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
QPR U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 10/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
Coventry U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/09 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
4-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/04 | Millwall U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in QPR U21 vs Coventry U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a QPR U21 win (45%). Probabilities: QPR U21 45%, draw 21%, Coventry U21 34%.
How many goals are expected in QPR U21 vs Coventry U21?
The model expects 4.33 goals (QPR U21 2.31 · Coventry U21 2.02), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in QPR U21 vs Coventry U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.