Football · England Development League 2 · 06/10, 14:00
Prediction: Hull U21 vs Wigan U21
Team pages: Hull U21 · Wigan U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.05Total
Hull U212.14
Wigan U211.91
1X2
Hull U21
Draw
Wigan U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Hull U21
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Wigan U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hull U21
3–3
Wigan U21
(6 last)
- Wigan U212-0Hull U21
- Hull U212-1Wigan U21
- Wigan U212-0Hull U21
- Hull U213-1Wigan U21
- Wigan U211-2Hull U21
- Hull U213-4Wigan U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hull U21 1451 · Wigan U21 1492
| Hull U21 | Draw | Wigan U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| Market | 44% | 20% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.05 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigan U21 (rating 1451 vs 1492).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hull U21 | Wigan U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 2.2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hull U21 3–0–3 Wigan U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hull U21 |
| 03/02/26 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Wigan U21 |
| 04/03/25 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hull U21 |
| 19/11/24 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Wigan U21 |
| 12/04/24 England Development League 2 | Wigan U21 | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Hull U21 |
| 30/01/24 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Wigan U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol City U21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Swansea U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Charlton U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Wigan U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20 | 9 |
| 7 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Coventry U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 9 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Barnsley U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 11 | Peterborough U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Huddersfield U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Colchester U21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 6 |
| 15 | QPR U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 4 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hull U21 | Wigan U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City U21 | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Cardiff U21 | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hull U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/09 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Wigan U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 15/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 6-4 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/09 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 07/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/03 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hull U21 vs Wigan U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hull U21 win (44%). Probabilities: Hull U21 44%, draw 21%, Wigan U21 35%.
How many goals are expected in Hull U21 vs Wigan U21?
The model expects 4.05 goals (Hull U21 2.14 · Wigan U21 1.91), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull U21 vs Wigan U21?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.