Football · England Development League 2 · 22/09, 19:00
Prediction: Bristol City U21 vs Hull U21
Team pages: Bristol City U21 · Hull U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Bristol City U212.42
Hull U211.44
1X2
Bristol City U21
Draw
Hull U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Bristol City U21
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Hull U21
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bristol City U21
3–1
Hull U21
(4 last)
- Hull U214-1Bristol City U21
- Bristol City U214-2Hull U21
- Bristol City U213-1Hull U21
- Bristol City U214-2Hull U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bristol City U21 1555 · Hull U21 1469
| Bristol City U21 | Draw | Hull U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 20% | 21% |
| Market | 59% | 20% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bristol City U21 (rating 1555 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Bristol City U21: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bristol City U21 | Hull U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.3 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City U21 3–0–1 Hull U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 England Development League 2 | Hull U21 | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Bristol City U21 |
| 01/04/25 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Hull U21 |
| 23/04/24 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Hull U21 |
| 16/08/22 England Development League 2 | Bristol City U21 | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Hull U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Barnsley U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
| 5 | Peterborough U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 6 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol City U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Huddersfield U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Swansea U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Wigan U21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 5 |
| 11 | Sheff Utd U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | QPR U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 13 | Coventry U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Charlton U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bristol City U21 | Hull U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Utd U21 | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Wigan U21 | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Colchester U21 | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bristol City U21 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bristol City U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/04 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 08/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/03 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
Hull U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/03 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bristol City U21 vs Hull U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol City U21 win (59%). Probabilities: Bristol City U21 59%, draw 20%, Hull U21 21%.
How many goals are expected in Bristol City U21 vs Hull U21?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Bristol City U21 2.42 · Hull U21 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bristol City U21 vs Hull U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.