Football · England Development League 2 · 13/10, 15:00
Prediction: QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21
Team pages: QPR U21 · Cardiff U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
QPR U211.73
Cardiff U212.23
1X2
QPR U21
Draw
Cardiff U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
QPR U21
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Cardiff U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
QPR U21
3–1–2
Cardiff U21
(6 last)
- QPR U211-0Cardiff U21
- Cardiff U213-1QPR U21
- Cardiff U212-3QPR U21
- QPR U212-2Cardiff U21
- QPR U212-1Cardiff U21
- Cardiff U212-1QPR U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · QPR U21 1442 · Cardiff U21 1518
| QPR U21 | Draw | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 22% | 49% |
| Market | 30% | 21% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cardiff U21 (rating 1442 vs 1518).
- H2H favours QPR U21: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| QPR U21 | Cardiff U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.7 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · QPR U21 3–1–2 Cardiff U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cardiff U21 |
| 12/12/25 England U21 Premier League Cup | Cardiff U21 | 3-1 HT 1-0 | QPR U21 |
| 04/11/25 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 2-3 HT 1-2 | QPR U21 |
| 24/10/25 England U21 Premier League Cup | QPR U21 | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Cardiff U21 |
| 22/04/25 England Development League 2 | QPR U21 | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cardiff U21 |
| 16/12/24 England Development League 2 | Cardiff U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | QPR U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol City U21 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Swansea U21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Coventry U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Sheff Utd U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Wigan U21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 22 | 10 |
| 8 | Charlton U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Barnsley U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 11 | Peterborough U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Huddersfield U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Colchester U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 6 |
| 15 | Hull U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 5 |
| 16 | QPR U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 4 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | QPR U21 | Cardiff U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Hull U21 | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Peterborough U21 | 0-2 L | 6-0 W |
| Wigan U21 | 2-3 L | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
QPR U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/09 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Bolton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Huddersfield U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 10/04 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/03 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
Cardiff U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Peterborough U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Wigan U21 England Development League 2 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/08 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Brentford U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/03 | Fleetwood Town U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cardiff U21 win (49%). Probabilities: QPR U21 30%, draw 21%, Cardiff U21 49%.
How many goals are expected in QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model expects 3.96 goals (QPR U21 1.73 · Cardiff U21 2.23), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in QPR U21 vs Cardiff U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.