Football · England Development League 2 · 25/09, 14:00
Prediction: Barnsley U21 vs Sheff Utd U21
Team pages: Barnsley U21 · Sheff Utd U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Barnsley U211.85
Sheff Utd U212.13
1X2
Barnsley U21
Draw
Sheff Utd U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Barnsley U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Sheff Utd U21
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barnsley U21
1–4–1
Sheff Utd U21
(6 last)
- Barnsley U212-2Sheff Utd U21
- Sheff Utd U215-2Barnsley U21
- Sheff Utd U210-0Barnsley U21
- Barnsley U211-1Sheff Utd U21
- Sheff Utd U210-1Barnsley U21
- Barnsley U210-0Sheff Utd U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barnsley U21 1511 · Sheff Utd U21 1512
| Barnsley U21 | Draw | Sheff Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 21% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnsley U21 | Sheff Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.4 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnsley U21 1–4–1 Sheff Utd U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Sheff Utd U21 |
| 14/10/25 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Barnsley U21 |
| 18/03/25 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barnsley U21 |
| 25/10/24 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sheff Utd U21 |
| 13/02/24 England Development League 2 | Sheff Utd U21 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barnsley U21 |
| 27/09/23 England Development League 2 | Barnsley U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sheff Utd U21 |
Standings · England Development League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton U21 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Bristol City U21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Cardiff U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Barnsley U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
| 6 | Peterborough U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Huddersfield U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Charlton U21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Swansea U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Wigan U21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 6 |
| 12 | Coventry U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 4 |
| 13 | Sheff Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | QPR U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 15 | Colchester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Hull U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 17 | Millwall U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barnsley U21 | Sheff Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester U21 | 4-3 W | 4-2 W |
| Charlton U21 | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Cardiff U21 | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Swansea U21 | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnsley U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Coventry U21 England Development League 2 |
1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
4-3 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/04 | Sheffield Wed U21 England Development League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Crewe U21 England Development League 2 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Hull U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Sheff Utd U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Sheff Utd U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Charlton U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Cardiff U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | Swansea U21 England Development League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 13/04 | Bristol City U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 31/03 | Colchester U21 England Development League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/03 | Barnsley U21 England Development League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/03 | Bournemouth U21 England Development League 2 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | QPR U21 England Development League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnsley U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Utd U21 win (45%). Probabilities: Barnsley U21 34%, draw 22%, Sheff Utd U21 45%.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?
The model expects 3.99 goals (Barnsley U21 1.85 · Sheff Utd U21 2.13), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnsley U21 vs Sheff Utd U21?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.