Football · Argentina Championship Women · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: River Plate (W) vs San Luis FC (W)
Team pages: River Plate (W) · San Luis FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
River Plate (W)1.78
San Luis FC (W)0.91
1X2
River Plate (W)
Draw
San Luis FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
River Plate (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
San Luis FC (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
River Plate (W)
0–3–1
San Luis FC (W)
(4 last)
- San Luis FC (W)1-1River Plate (W)
- San Luis FC (W)1-0River Plate (W)
- San Luis FC (W)1-1River Plate (W)
- River Plate (W)1-1San Luis FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · River Plate (W) 1508 · San Luis FC (W) 1487
| River Plate (W) | Draw | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| River Plate (W) | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · River Plate (W) 0–3–1 San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | River Plate (W) |
| 07/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | River Plate (W) |
| 11/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | River Plate (W) |
| 25/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | River Plate (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | San Luis FC (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | San Luis FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | River Plate (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lanus (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Huracan (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Racing Club (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | River Plate (W) | San Luis FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Banfield (W) | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
River Plate (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in River Plate (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a River Plate (W) win (57%). Probabilities: River Plate (W) 57%, draw 25%, San Luis FC (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in River Plate (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model expects 2.69 goals (River Plate (W) 1.78 · San Luis FC (W) 0.91), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in River Plate (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.