Football · Argentina Championship Women · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: CA Independiente Women vs Social Atletico Television (W)
Team pages: CA Independiente Women · Social Atletico Television (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
CA Independiente Women0.91
Social Atletico Television (W)1.32
1X2
CA Independiente Women
Draw
Social Atletico Television (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente Women
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Social Atletico Television (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Independiente Women
2–2–2
Social Atletico Television (W)
(6 last)
- Social Atletico Television (W)0-1CA Independiente Women
- CA Independiente Women0-3Social Atletico Television (W)
- Social Atletico Television (W)2-0CA Independiente Women
- Social Atletico Television (W)2-2CA Independiente Women
- CA Independiente Women1-0Social Atletico Television (W)
- CA Independiente Women0-0Social Atletico Television (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Independiente Women 1428 · Social Atletico Television (W) 1477
| CA Independiente Women | Draw | Social Atletico Television (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 31% | 45% |
| Market | 25% | 29% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Social Atletico Television (W) (rating 1428 vs 1477).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Independiente Women | Social Atletico Television (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.8 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente Women 2–2–2 Social Atletico Television (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 08/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 26/07/25 Women’s Friendly | Social Atletico Television (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 19/07/25 Women’s Friendly | Social Atletico Television (W) | 2-2 HT 1-2 | CA Independiente Women |
| 31/01/25 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 17/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | San Luis FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Belgrano (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Huracan (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Lanus (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Racing Club (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Independiente Women | Social Atletico Television (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan (W) | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-6 L | 1-0 W |
| River Plate (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Banfield (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-6 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Social Atletico Television (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Independiente Women
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
Social Atletico Television (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Independiente Women vs Social Atletico Television (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Social Atletico Television (W) win (45%). Probabilities: CA Independiente Women 25%, draw 30%, Social Atletico Television (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in CA Independiente Women vs Social Atletico Television (W)?
The model expects 2.23 goals (CA Independiente Women 0.91 · Social Atletico Television (W) 1.32), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Independiente Women vs Social Atletico Television (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.