Football · Argentina Championship Women · 22/08, 19:00
Prediction: San Luis FC (W) vs Belgrano (W)
Team pages: San Luis FC (W) · Belgrano (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
San Luis FC (W)0.88
Belgrano (W)1.35
1X2
San Luis FC (W)
Draw
Belgrano (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis FC (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Belgrano (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis FC (W)
1–1–3
Belgrano (W)
(5 last)
- Belgrano (W)0-2San Luis FC (W)
- Belgrano (W)3-0San Luis FC (W)
- Belgrano (W)2-0San Luis FC (W)
- San Luis FC (W)1-4Belgrano (W)
- Belgrano (W)0-0San Luis FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis FC (W) 1484 · Belgrano (W) 1542
| San Luis FC (W) | Draw | Belgrano (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 30% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 29% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (W) (rating 1484 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Belgrano (W): 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis FC (W) | Belgrano (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis FC (W) 1–1–3 Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 16/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 08/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 06/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Belgrano (W) |
| 19/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Belgrano (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lanus (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Huracan (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | San Luis FC (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Racing Club (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis FC (W) | Belgrano (W) |
|---|---|---|
| River Plate (W) | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Banfield (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 10/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis FC (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Belgrano (W) win (47%). Probabilities: San Luis FC (W) 24%, draw 30%, Belgrano (W) 47%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis FC (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
The model expects 2.23 goals (San Luis FC (W) 0.88 · Belgrano (W) 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis FC (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.