Football · Argentina Championship Women · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: San Lorenzo (W) vs Racing Club (W)
Team pages: San Lorenzo (W) · Racing Club (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
San Lorenzo (W)1.01
Racing Club (W)1.02
1X2
San Lorenzo (W)
Draw
Racing Club (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Lorenzo (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Racing Club (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo (W)
0–3–3
Racing Club (W)
(6 last)
- Racing Club (W)1-0San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)0-1Racing Club (W)
- Racing Club (W)2-2San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)1-1Racing Club (W)
- Racing Club (W)0-0San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)1-3Racing Club (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Lorenzo (W) 1519 · Racing Club (W) 1590
| San Lorenzo (W) | Draw | Racing Club (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1519 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Racing Club (W): 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Lorenzo (W) | Racing Club (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Lorenzo (W) 0–3–3 Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 14/11/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Racing Club (W) |
| 11/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 23/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club (W) |
| 20/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 08/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Racing Club (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | San Luis FC (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Belgrano (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Huracan (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Lanus (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Racing Club (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Lorenzo (W) | Racing Club (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Huracan (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 29/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo (W) vs Racing Club (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club (W) win (35%). Probabilities: San Lorenzo (W) 34%, draw 31%, Racing Club (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in San Lorenzo (W) vs Racing Club (W)?
The model expects 2.03 goals (San Lorenzo (W) 1.01 · Racing Club (W) 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo (W) vs Racing Club (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.