Prediction: Northampton vs Brighton U21
Team pages: Northampton
- Northampton1-2Brighton U21
| Northampton | Draw | Brighton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton U21 (rating 1470 vs 1579).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Northampton | Brighton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Northampton 0–0–1 Brighton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/21 England EFL Trophy | Northampton | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Brighton U21 |
Standings · England EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy 26/27, Southern Group G
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Northampton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Leicester England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Cambridge Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Birmingham Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Southend UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Coventry Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Leicester Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Plymouth England League 1 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 28/04 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Brighton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Millwall U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/03 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/02 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Northampton vs Brighton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Northampton win (55%). Probabilities: Northampton 55%, draw 24%, Brighton U21 21%.
How many goals are expected in Northampton vs Brighton U21?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Northampton 1.78 · Brighton U21 1.02), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Northampton vs Brighton U21?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.