Football · England EFL Trophy · 18/08, 20:00

Prediction: Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon

Team pages: Leyton Orient · AFC Wimbledon

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Leyton Orient1.92
AFC Wimbledon1.34
1X2
50% 24% 26%
Leyton Orient Draw AFC Wimbledon
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leyton Orient 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLDLWWWL
AFC Wimbledon 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWDWLLDL
Head-to-head
Leyton Orient 3–3 AFC Wimbledon (6 last)
  • AFC Wimbledon2-4Leyton Orient
  • Leyton Orient1-3AFC Wimbledon
  • Leyton Orient1-0AFC Wimbledon
  • AFC Wimbledon2-0Leyton Orient
  • Leyton Orient2-0AFC Wimbledon
  • AFC Wimbledon3-0Leyton Orient
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leyton Orient 1522 · AFC Wimbledon 1464
Leyton OrientDrawAFC Wimbledon
Our model50%24%26%
Market50%25%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyton Orient (rating 1522 vs 1464).
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Leyton OrientAFC Wimbledon
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.20.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.61.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 02.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leyton Orient 303 AFC Wimbledon

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/03/26
England League 1
AFC Wimbledon2-4
HT 2-1
Leyton Orient
01/01/26
England League 1
Leyton Orient1-3
HT 1-1
AFC Wimbledon
04/02/23
England League 2
Leyton Orient1-0
HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
08/11/22
England League 2
AFC Wimbledon2-0
HT 2-0
Leyton Orient
06/10/20
England EFL Trophy
Leyton Orient2-0
HT 1-0
AFC Wimbledon
08/10/19
England EFL Trophy
AFC Wimbledon3-0
HT 1-0
Leyton Orient

Standings · England EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy 26/27, Southern Group F

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 AFC Wimbledon 000 000
1 Arsenal U21 000 000
1 Barnet 000 000
1 Leyton Orient 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leyton Orient

WWLLDLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Sheff Wed
England League 1
1-1 1-2 54 L
08/08 Oxford Utd
England EFL Cup
0-0 2-0 72 W
04/08 Waltham Abbey
UK Friendlies
2-1 7-1 92 W
02/08 Antwerp
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-1 60 W
28/07 Swindon
UK Friendlies
0-2 1-2 82 L
25/07 Southend
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-1 51 D
21/07 AFC Hornchurch
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-2 L
21/07 Cheshunt
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 120 L
17/07 Lincoln City
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-0 12 W
10/07 Enfield Town
Club Friendly List
1-1 4-1 W

AFC Wimbledon

LWLWDWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-2 0-3 54 L
08/08 Newport County
England EFL Cup
0-0 1-1 73 D
01/08 QPR
UK Friendlies
0-1 2-3 50 L
28/07 Wealdstone
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-1 61 L
25/07 Charlton
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 42 W
22/07 Norwich
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 00 D
18/07 Sutton Utd
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-1 60 W
02/05 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-1 0-4 53 L
25/04 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 1-0 37 W
18/04 Plymouth
England League 1
0-1 1-3 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leyton Orient win (50%). Probabilities: Leyton Orient 50%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 26%.

How many goals are expected in Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Leyton Orient 1.92 · AFC Wimbledon 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.