Football · England EFL Trophy · 19/08, 20:00

Prediction: Mansfield vs Man City U21

Team pages: Mansfield

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Mansfield1.98
Man City U211.45
1X2
49% 24% 27%
Mansfield Draw Man City U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mansfield 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLWLLW
Man City U21 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Head-to-head
Mansfield 1–1 Man City U21 (2 last)
  • Mansfield3-2Man City U21
  • Mansfield0-3Man City U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mansfield 1514 · Man City U21 1575
MansfieldDrawMan City U21
Our model49%24%27%
Market49%24%27%
Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man City U21 (rating 1514 vs 1575).
  • High corners: 15.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MansfieldMan City U21
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.73.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.31.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 6.66 / 8.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mansfield 101 Man City U21

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/22
England EFL Trophy
Mansfield3-2
HT 1-2
Man City U21
08/09/20
England EFL Trophy
Mansfield0-3
HT 0-1
Man City U21

Standings · England EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy 26/27, Northern Group D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Chesterfield 000 000
1 Man City U21 000 000
1 Mansfield 000 000
1 Port Vale 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mansfield

WWDWWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Doncaster
England League 1
1-0 2-1 73 W
09/08 Sheff Utd
England EFL Cup
0-1 0-3 53 L
31/07 Derby
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-3 170 L
28/07 Alfreton Town
UK Friendlies
2-0 4-0 30 W
18/07 Barrow
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-4 L
14/07 Retford Utd
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-1 W
02/05 Cardiff
England League 1
3-0 5-4 63 W
28/04 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 0-0 72 D
25/04 Huddersfield
England League 1
2-0 4-1 33 W
21/04 Stockport
England League 1
0-0 1-0 58 W

Man City U21

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/05 Man Utd U21
England Premier League 2
1-3 3-4 91 L
01/05 Aston Villa U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 3-2 65 W
25/04 Arsenal U21
England Premier League 2
0-1 3-1 84 W
13/04 Norwich U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 3-0 95 W
03/04 Derby U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 0-1 214 L
20/03 Birmingham U21
England Premier League 2
3-1 5-1 40 W
16/03 Liverpool U21
England Premier League 2
1-0 2-0 74 W
06/03 Aston Villa U21
England Premier League 2
4-0 4-0 65 W
27/02 Nottm Forest U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 3-0 92 W
20/02 Wolverhampton U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 6-0 92 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mansfield vs Man City U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mansfield win (49%). Probabilities: Mansfield 49%, draw 24%, Man City U21 27%.

How many goals are expected in Mansfield vs Man City U21?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Mansfield 1.98 · Man City U21 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Mansfield vs Man City U21?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.