Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 06/09, 12:00
Prediction: CD Roda vs Ontinyent
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
CD Roda1.01
Ontinyent0.83
1X2
CD Roda
Draw
Ontinyent
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Roda
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Ontinyent
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Roda
3–1–2
Ontinyent
(6 last)
- CD Roda0-2Ontinyent
- Ontinyent1-2CD Roda
- Ontinyent0-1CD Roda
- CD Roda2-2Ontinyent
- CD Roda2-0Ontinyent
- Ontinyent1-0CD Roda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Roda 1493 · Ontinyent 1442
| CD Roda | Draw | Ontinyent | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 35% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Roda (rating 1493 vs 1442).
- H2H favours CD Roda: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Roda | Ontinyent | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/0/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.4 | 3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Roda 3–1–2 Ontinyent
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6 | CD Roda | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ontinyent |
| 21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Ontinyent | 1-2 | CD Roda |
| 16/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Ontinyent | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Roda |
| 11/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 6 | CD Roda | 2-2 | Ontinyent |
| 01/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 6 | CD Roda | 2-0 | Ontinyent |
| 07/01/24 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Ontinyent | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Roda |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torrent C.F. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | CD Bunol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | SC Torrevieja CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Crevillente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Athletic Torrellano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Levante B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atletico Saguntino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Eldense B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | CD Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Soneja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Utiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Villarreal C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ontinyent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | UD Vall De Uxo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Atzeneta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hercules II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Acero | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Jove Espanol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Roda | Ontinyent |
|---|---|---|
| Crevillente | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Soneja | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Bunol | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hercules II | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Saguntino | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Roda (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Roda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/03 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 21/03 | Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Ontinyent
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 29/03 | La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/03 | CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Roda vs Ontinyent?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Roda win (39%). Probabilities: CD Roda 39%, draw 32%, Ontinyent 29%.
How many goals are expected in CD Roda vs Ontinyent?
The model expects 1.84 goals (CD Roda 1.01 · Ontinyent 0.83), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Roda vs Ontinyent?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.