Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 06/09, 19:00

Prediction: UD Vall De Uxo vs Utiel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

UD Vall De Uxo1.18

Utiel0.73

1X2

46% 31% 23%

UD Vall De Uxo Draw Utiel

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

UD Vall De Uxo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWDWLL

Utiel 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLDDW

Head-to-head

UD Vall De Uxo 1–2–2 Utiel (5 last)

Utiel1-1UD Vall De Uxo
Utiel1-0UD Vall De Uxo
UD Vall De Uxo0-1Utiel
UD Vall De Uxo0-0Utiel
Utiel0-2UD Vall De Uxo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UD Vall De Uxo 1527 · Utiel 1455

	UD Vall De Uxo	Draw	Utiel
Our model	45%	33%	22%
Market	47%	29%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UD Vall De Uxo (rating 1527 vs 1455).
H2H favours Utiel: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UD Vall De Uxo	Utiel
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.6	2.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.10

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.91▲	Pinn 2.01 ★
X	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	4.50 → 3.80▼	Pinn 3.88

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +117’	1.73	3.20	4.50
20:22 +5’	1.91▲	3.10▼	3.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:16 +70’	2.01	2.86	3.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Vall De Uxo 1–2–2 Utiel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Europe Friendlies	Utiel	1-1 HT 1-0	UD Vall De Uxo
09/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Utiel	1-0 HT 0-0	UD Vall De Uxo
10/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	UD Vall De Uxo	0-1 HT 0-0	Utiel
12/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	UD Vall De Uxo	0-0 HT 0-0	Utiel
30/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Utiel	0-2	UD Vall De Uxo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Torrent C.F.	1	1	0	4	0	3
2	CD Bunol	1	1	0	2	1	3
2	SC Torrevieja CF	1	1	0	2	1	3
4	Crevillente	1	1	0	1	0	3
5	Athletic Torrellano	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Levante B	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Atletico Saguntino	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Eldense B	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	CD Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Soneja	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Utiel	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Villarreal C	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Ontinyent	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	UD Vall De Uxo	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Atzeneta	1	0	1	1	2	0
15	Hercules II	1	0	1	1	2	0
17	Acero	1	0	1	0	1	0
18	Jove Espanol	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UD Vall De Uxo	Utiel
UD Alzira	1-0 W	2-2 D
Jove Espanol	1-1 D	1-1 D
CD Roda	1-0 W	1-3 L
Recambios Colon	2-2 D	2-2 D
Athletic Torrellano	1-0 W	0-1 L
Levante B	0-1 L	0-3 L
Atzeneta	1-0 W	3-1 W
Hercules II	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: UD Vall De Uxo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UD Vall De Uxo

WWLWDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
02/05	Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6	0-2	0-4	3	6	L
26/04	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
18/04	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
02/04	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
28/03	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
22/03	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
14/03	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	6	8	W
07/03	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	3	6	W

Utiel

LLWLLDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/05	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-2	–	–	D
26/04	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
18/04	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-1	1-3	10	3	L
11/04	Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6	2-2	2-2	7	5	D
04/04	Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
29/03	Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6	0-3	0-3	9	9	L
22/03	Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/03	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/03	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UD Vall De Uxo vs Utiel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Vall De Uxo win (46%). Probabilities: UD Vall De Uxo 46%, draw 31%, Utiel 23%.

How many goals are expected in UD Vall De Uxo vs Utiel?

The model expects 1.91 goals (UD Vall De Uxo 1.18 · Utiel 0.73), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in UD Vall De Uxo vs Utiel?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.