Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 06/09, 18:00
Prediction: Soneja vs Villarreal C
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Soneja0.85
Villarreal C1.57
1X2
Soneja
Draw
Villarreal C
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Soneja
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Villarreal C
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Soneja
1–2–3
Villarreal C
(6 last)
- Villarreal C2-0Soneja
- Soneja1-1Villarreal C
- Soneja0-1Villarreal C
- Villarreal C4-1Soneja
- Soneja1-1Villarreal C
- Villarreal C0-1Soneja
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soneja 1516 · Villarreal C 1588
| Soneja | Draw | Villarreal C | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 28% | 53% |
| Market | 20% | 26% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal C (rating 1516 vs 1588).
- H2H favours Villarreal C: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Soneja | Villarreal C | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/25/25% | 56/33/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Soneja 1–2–3 Villarreal C
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Villarreal C | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Soneja |
| 25/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Soneja | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Villarreal C |
| 13/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Soneja | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Villarreal C |
| 01/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Villarreal C | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Soneja |
| 10/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Soneja | 1-1 | Villarreal C |
| 21/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 6 | Villarreal C | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Soneja |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torrent C.F. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | CD Bunol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | SC Torrevieja CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Crevillente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Athletic Torrellano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Levante B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atletico Saguntino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Eldense B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | CD Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Soneja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Utiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Villarreal C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ontinyent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | UD Vall De Uxo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Atzeneta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hercules II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Acero | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Jove Espanol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Soneja | Villarreal C |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Torrellano | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hercules II | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Levante B | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Atzeneta | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| UD Castellonense | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Ontinyent | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Saguntino | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Villarreal C (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soneja
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Recambios Colon Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 19/04 | Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/03 | Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
Villarreal C
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Athletic Torrellano Spain Tercera Group 6 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Levante B Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Atzeneta Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/04 | Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 28/03 | Atletico Saguntino Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soneja vs Villarreal C?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Villarreal C win (54%). Probabilities: Soneja 19%, draw 27%, Villarreal C 54%.
How many goals are expected in Soneja vs Villarreal C?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Soneja 0.85 · Villarreal C 1.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Soneja vs Villarreal C?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.