Football · Spain Tercera Group 6 · 06/09, 19:00

Prediction: Atletico Saguntino vs Levante B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Atletico Saguntino1.22

Levante B1.15

1X2

37% 30% 33%

Atletico Saguntino Draw Levante B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Saguntino 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWDWW

Levante B 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWLLWW

Head-to-head

Atletico Saguntino 0–4–2 Levante B (6 last)

Atletico Saguntino0-0Levante B
Levante B3-1Atletico Saguntino
Levante B1-1Atletico Saguntino
Atletico Saguntino1-1Levante B
Levante B2-0Atletico Saguntino
Atletico Saguntino2-2Levante B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Saguntino 1541 · Levante B 1562

	Atletico Saguntino	Draw	Levante B
Our model	36%	30%	33%
Market	37%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Levante B: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Saguntino	Levante B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	67/22/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.58 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.60 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +91’	2.50	3.00	2.60
20:22 +5’	2.45▼	3.00	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:11 +75’	2.58	2.75	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Saguntino 0–4–2 Levante B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 6	Atletico Saguntino	0-0 HT 0-0	Levante B
27/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	3-1 HT 2-1	Atletico Saguntino
13/08/25 Europe Friendlies	Levante B	1-1 HT 1-1	Atletico Saguntino
13/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 6	Atletico Saguntino	1-1 HT 1-0	Levante B
30/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 6	Levante B	2-0	Atletico Saguntino
01/08/18 Europe Friendlies	Atletico Saguntino	2-2 HT 2-0	Levante B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Torrent C.F.	1	1	0	4	0	3
2	CD Bunol	1	1	0	2	1	3
2	SC Torrevieja CF	1	1	0	2	1	3
4	Crevillente	1	1	0	1	0	3
5	Athletic Torrellano	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Levante B	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Atletico Saguntino	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Eldense B	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	CD Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Soneja	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Utiel	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Villarreal C	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Ontinyent	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	UD Vall De Uxo	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Atzeneta	1	0	1	1	2	0
15	Hercules II	1	0	1	1	2	0
17	Acero	1	0	1	0	1	0
18	Jove Espanol	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Saguntino	Levante B
UD Vall De Uxo	4-0 W	1-0 W
UD Alzira	1-0 W	2-1 W
Ontinyent	1-0 W	1-0 W
Villarreal C	2-1 W	3-1 W
La Nucia	0-1 L	2-3 L
Soneja	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Levante B (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Saguntino

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	Hercules II Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
02/05	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	2-0	4-0	1	6	W
26/04	UD Castellonense Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
19/04	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
12/04	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/04	Jove Espanol Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	2-1	4	9	W
28/03	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
21/03	CD Roda Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
14/03	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
11/03	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	0-1	1-2	7	8	L

Levante B

WWWWDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	3-1	0	7	W
09/05	Ontinyent Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
02/05	Villarreal C Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
26/04	La Nucia Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	2-3	1	8	L
18/04	Crevillente Spain Tercera Group 6	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
11/04	Soneja Spain Tercera Group 6	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
04/04	CD Bunol Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	4-0	4	9	W
29/03	Utiel Spain Tercera Group 6	3-0	3-0	3	9	W
22/03	UD Vall De Uxo Spain Tercera Group 6	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
15/03	UD Alzira Spain Tercera Group 6	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Saguntino vs Levante B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Saguntino win (37%). Probabilities: Atletico Saguntino 37%, draw 30%, Levante B 33%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Saguntino vs Levante B?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Atletico Saguntino 1.22 · Levante B 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Saguntino vs Levante B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.