Prediction: AFC Hornchurch vs Norwich U21

Team pages: AFC Hornchurch

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
AFC Hornchurch1.79
Norwich U211.48
1X2
45% 22% 32%
AFC Hornchurch Draw Norwich U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Hornchurch 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDWDDWWLWW
Norwich U21 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWDLWLDWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Hornchurch 1570 · Norwich U21 1487
AFC HornchurchDrawNorwich U21
Our model44%25%31%
Market46%20%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Hornchurch (rating 1570 vs 1487).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AFC HornchurchNorwich U21
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.91.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.72 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 04.4 / 0.1

Standings · England National League Cup · National League Cup 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Aldershot 000 000
1 Braintree Town 000 000
1 Fulham U21 000 000
1 AFC Hornchurch 000 000
1 Ipswich U21 000 000
1 Norwich U21 000 000
1 West Ham U21 000 000
1 Worthing 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Hornchurch

WDWDDWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Barrow
England National League
0-0 2-1 33 W
08/08 Kidderminster
England National League
3-0 3-0 44 W
28/07 Enfield Town
UK Friendlies
0-2 2-4 150 L
21/07 Leyton Orient
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-1 W
11/07 Redbridge
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 30 W
07/07 Dag & Red
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 41 D
09/05 Torquay
England National League South
1-1 2-2 42 D
02/05 Weston Super Mare
England National League South
0-0 2-0 22 W
25/04 Maidenhead Utd
England National League South
0-0 0-0 54 D
18/04 Chippenham Town
England National League South
0-0 3-1 21 W

Norwich U21

LWDLWLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/05 Huddersfield U21
England Development League 2
1-0 2-4 53 L
11/05 Nottm Forest U21
England Development League 2
0-1 2-1 32 W
02/05 Swansea U21
England Premier League 2 Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 112 W
27/04 Sheff Utd U21
England Premier League 2 Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 612 D
13/04 Man City U21
England Premier League 2
0-2 0-3 35 L
20/03 West Brom U21
England Premier League 2
2-1 4-1 44 W
13/03 Aston Villa U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 1-2 36 L
06/03 Arsenal U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 2-2 45 D
27/02 Stoke U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 4-2 64 W
20/02 Tottenham U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 1-4 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Hornchurch vs Norwich U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Hornchurch win (45%). Probabilities: AFC Hornchurch 45%, draw 22%, Norwich U21 32%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Hornchurch vs Norwich U21?

The model expects 3.27 goals (AFC Hornchurch 1.79 · Norwich U21 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Hornchurch vs Norwich U21?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.