Football · England National League Cup · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Woking vs West Brom U21
Team pages: Woking
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Woking1.82
West Brom U211.63
1X2
Woking
Draw
West Brom U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Woking
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
West Brom U21
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Woking 1479 · West Brom U21 1525
| Woking | Draw | West Brom U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | 44% | 20% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Brom U21 (rating 1479 vs 1525).
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Woking | West Brom U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 3.7 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · England National League Cup · National League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Truro City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Brom U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Woking
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Eastbourne Borough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Morecambe England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
West Brom U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04 | Burnley U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/03 | Bournemouth U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
2-2 | 5-4 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/03 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/03 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/02 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 15/02 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/02 | QPR U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Woking vs West Brom U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Woking win (43%). Probabilities: Woking 43%, draw 22%, West Brom U21 35%.
How many goals are expected in Woking vs West Brom U21?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Woking 1.82 · West Brom U21 1.63), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Woking vs West Brom U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.