Prediction: Truro City vs Southampton U21
Team pages: Truro City
- Truro City3-2Southampton U21
| Truro City | Draw | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 20% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Truro City (rating 1557 vs 1507).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Truro City | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Truro City 1–0–0 Southampton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/25 England National League Cup | Truro City | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Southampton U21 |
Standings · England National League Cup · National League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Truro City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Brom U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Truro City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Chelmsford England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Maidenhead Utd England National League South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Plymouth Parkway Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Plymouth UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Exeter UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Exmouth Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Falmouth Town Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
Southampton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Blackburn U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/03 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/02 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/02 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/02 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Truro City vs Southampton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Southampton U21 win (45%). Probabilities: Truro City 33%, draw 23%, Southampton U21 45%.
How many goals are expected in Truro City vs Southampton U21?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Truro City 1.38 · Southampton U21 1.65), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Truro City vs Southampton U21?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.