Prediction: Worthing vs West Ham U21

Team pages: Worthing

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Worthing1.8
West Ham U211.83
1X2
38% 22% 39%
Worthing Draw West Ham U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Worthing 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWDWWWL
West Ham U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDWLDLWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Worthing 1551 · West Ham U21 1492
WorthingDrawWest Ham U21
Our model38%24%39%
Market39%21%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Worthing (rating 1551 vs 1492).
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WorthingWest Ham U21
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 11.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.41 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 52.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.43.2 / 0.1

Standings · England National League Cup · National League Cup 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Aldershot 000 000
1 Braintree Town 000 000
1 Fulham U21 000 000
1 AFC Hornchurch 000 000
1 Ipswich U21 000 000
1 Norwich U21 000 000
1 West Ham U21 000 000
1 Worthing 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Worthing

WLWDWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Forest Green
England National League
1-0 1-2 44 L
08/08 Carlisle
England National League
0-1 3-2 02 W
01/08 Horsham
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 62 W
01/08 Horsham
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-0 W
24/07 Enfield Town
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-1 30 D
21/07 QPR U21
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 31 W
18/07 Frome Town
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
25/04 Ebbsfleet United
England National League South
1-0 2-0 32 W
18/04 Maidstone Utd
England National League South
1-1 1-2 105 L
11/04 Dag & Red
England National League South
2-1 7-2 115 W

West Ham U21

WLLDWLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Colchester
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-2 D
21/07 Ebbsfleet United
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 20 W
04/05 Brighton U21
England Premier League 2
0-2 0-3 57 L
24/04 Fulham U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 1-1 35 D
04/04 Tottenham U21
England Premier League 2
2-1 2-3 73 L
20/03 Blackburn U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 4-2 15 W
17/03 Boreham Wood
England National League Cup
2-0 2-2 32 D
13/03 Reading U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 1-2 73 L
06/03 Derby U21
England Premier League 2
1-2 2-4 92 L
28/02 Leeds U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 3-1 153 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Worthing vs West Ham U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an West Ham U21 win (39%). Probabilities: Worthing 38%, draw 22%, West Ham U21 39%.

How many goals are expected in Worthing vs West Ham U21?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Worthing 1.8 · West Ham U21 1.83), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Worthing vs West Ham U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.