Prediction: Tamworth vs Newcastle U21

Team pages: Tamworth

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Tamworth1.74
Newcastle U211.76
1X2
39% 22% 40%
Tamworth Draw Newcastle U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tamworth 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLLDDWDL
Newcastle U21 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDDWLWDL
Head-to-head
Tamworth 0–1–0 Newcastle U21 (1 last)
  • Tamworth1-1Newcastle U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tamworth 1496 · Newcastle U21 1514
TamworthDrawNewcastle U21
Our model37%24%38%
Market40%20%41%
Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TamworthNewcastle U21
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 21.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.71.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/22/22%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.91.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.1 / 0.14 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tamworth 010 Newcastle U21

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/11/24
England National League Cup
Tamworth1-1
HT 0-0
Newcastle U21

Standings · England National League Cup · National League Cup 26/27, Group C

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Middlesbrough U21 110 1003
2 Boreham Wood 000 000
2 Everton U21 000 000
2 Leeds U21 000 000
2 Newcastle U21 000 000
2 Solihull Moors 000 000
2 Tamworth 000 000
8 Hartlepool 101 0100

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tamworth

WWWLLDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 AFC Fylde
England National League
1-2 1-2 37 L
08/08 Boreham Wood
England National League
1-1 3-3 21 D
01/08 AFC Telford
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-1 20 W
28/07 Macclesfield
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-1 71 D
25/07 Halesowen
UK Friendlies
0-1 2-2 60 D
21/07 Aston Villa U21
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-2 70 L
14/07 Port Vale
Club Friendly List
0-5 L
11/07 Walton & Hersham
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-1 70 W
04/07 Lichfield City
UK Friendlies
1-0 4-2 90 W
25/04 Braintree Town
England National League
2-1 5-1 102 W

Newcastle U21

WLWDDWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/04 Swansea U21
England Premier League 2 Play-Offs
0-2 0-2 77 L
13/04 Wolverhampton U21
England Premier League 2
1-1 1-1 133 D
10/04 Man Utd U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 3-1 14 W
20/03 Nottm Forest U21
England Premier League 2
0-2 0-3 15 L
13/03 Blackburn U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 2-0 12 W
09/03 Leicester U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 2-2 22 D
27/02 Brighton U21
England Premier League 2
2-0 2-2 47 D
20/02 Fulham U21
England Premier League 2
1-0 3-0 13 W
13/02 Arsenal U21
England Premier League 2
0-0 0-1 55 L
06/02 Aston Villa U21
England Premier League 2
3-2 4-3 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tamworth vs Newcastle U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Newcastle U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Tamworth 39%, draw 22%, Newcastle U21 40%.

How many goals are expected in Tamworth vs Newcastle U21?

The model expects 3.51 goals (Tamworth 1.74 · Newcastle U21 1.76), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tamworth vs Newcastle U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.