Prediction: Boston Utd vs Birmingham U21
Team pages: Boston Utd
| Boston Utd | Draw | Birmingham U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 21% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boston Utd (rating 1528 vs 1422).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston Utd | Birmingham U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 2.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0 |
Standings · England National League Cup · National League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Truro City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Brom U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Hednesford Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/07 | Grimsby UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Alfreton Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Birmingham U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Swansea U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 20/03 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/03 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/03 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/03 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/02 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/02 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boston Utd vs Birmingham U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Utd win (51%). Probabilities: Boston Utd 51%, draw 23%, Birmingham U21 26%.
How many goals are expected in Boston Utd vs Birmingham U21?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Boston Utd 1.79 · Birmingham U21 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boston Utd vs Birmingham U21?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.