Prediction: Sutton Utd vs Leicester U21
Team pages: Sutton Utd
| Sutton Utd | Draw | Leicester U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 44% | 22% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutton Utd (rating 1547 vs 1504).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutton Utd | Leicester U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.4 | 3.3 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · England National League Cup · National League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boston Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Truro City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Brom U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Woking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Southampton U21 UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | Folkestone Invicta UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Horsham UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | AFC Wimbledon UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Tonbridge Angels UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | AFC Totton UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Leicester U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Plymouth U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/02 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/02 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/02 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/02 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutton Utd vs Leicester U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Utd win (43%). Probabilities: Sutton Utd 43%, draw 23%, Leicester U21 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Leicester U21?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Sutton Utd 1.85 · Leicester U21 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Leicester U21?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.