Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 14:30
Prediction: ASD Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
Team pages: ASD Trastevere · Sarrabus Ogliastra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
ASD Trastevere1.5
Sarrabus Ogliastra1.13
1X2
ASD Trastevere
Draw
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Trastevere
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Trastevere
2–1–3
Sarrabus Ogliastra
(6 last)
- Sarrabus Ogliastra3-1ASD Trastevere
- ASD Trastevere2-2Sarrabus Ogliastra
- ASD Trastevere3-1Sarrabus Ogliastra
- Sarrabus Ogliastra0-2ASD Trastevere
- ASD Trastevere2-3Sarrabus Ogliastra
- Sarrabus Ogliastra3-2ASD Trastevere
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Trastevere 1482 · Sarrabus Ogliastra 1481
| ASD Trastevere | Draw | Sarrabus Ogliastra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sarrabus Ogliastra: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Trastevere | Sarrabus Ogliastra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Trastevere 2–1–3 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Italy Serie D | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 3-1 HT 1-1 | ASD Trastevere |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Trastevere | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
| 16/02/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Trastevere | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
| 20/10/24 Italy Serie D | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0-2 | ASD Trastevere |
| 04/02/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Trastevere | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
| 08/10/23 Italy Serie D | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 3-2 | ASD Trastevere |
Standings · Italy Serie D
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | ASD Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | ASD CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| 16 | ASD Ragusa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Trapani | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Trastevere | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
|---|---|---|
| Monastir Kosmoto | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Anzio Calcio 1924 | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Cynthialbalonga | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Trastevere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | ASD Aranova Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Citta di Anagni Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | Atletico Lodigiani Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Paganese Italy Serie D |
1-4 | 1-6 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/09 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Certosa Vigor Campagnano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Anzio Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Olbia Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Valmontone 1921 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Real Monterotondo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Trastevere win (45%). Probabilities: ASD Trastevere 45%, draw 28%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 27%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
The model expects 2.63 goals (ASD Trastevere 1.5 · Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.