Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Monastir Kosmoto vs Sarnese

Team pages: Monastir Kosmoto · Sarnese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Monastir Kosmoto1.35
Sarnese1.42
1X2
35% 28% 37%
Monastir Kosmoto Draw Sarnese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Monastir Kosmoto 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWWLDL
Sarnese 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWDWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monastir Kosmoto 1534 · Sarnese 1563
Monastir KosmotoDrawSarnese
Our model35%28%38%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Monastir KosmotoSarnese
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.91.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.80.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.31.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 04.1 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMonastir KosmotoSarnese
Budoni 5-1 W 2-1 W
ASD Aranova 2-1 W 1-2 L
Atletico Lodigiani 5-1 W 1-0 W
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monastir Kosmoto (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monastir Kosmoto

WWLWDWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
– 2-4 –– L
24/10 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-2 33 D
18/10 Certosa Vigor Campagnano
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
11/10 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-1 32 W
04/10 Budoni
Italy Serie D
– 5-1 –– W
27/09 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 62 D
20/09 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 44 W
16/09 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 65 L
12/09 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
2-0 5-1 45 W
06/09 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W

Sarnese

WDWWDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 34 W
25/10 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
18/10 Citta di Anagni
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 45 W
11/10 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 22 W
04/10 Paganese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 17 W
27/09 Polisportiva Ossese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 44 D
20/09 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 33 W
16/09 US Venafro
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
12/09 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 35 D
06/09 Budoni
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monastir Kosmoto vs Sarnese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sarnese win (37%). Probabilities: Monastir Kosmoto 35%, draw 28%, Sarnese 37%.

How many goals are expected in Monastir Kosmoto vs Sarnese?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Monastir Kosmoto 1.35 · Sarnese 1.42), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Monastir Kosmoto vs Sarnese?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.